Correlation Between Ultrapar Participacoes and DCC PLC

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ultrapar Participacoes and DCC PLC at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ultrapar Participacoes and DCC PLC into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ultrapar Participacoes SA and DCC PLC ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ultrapar Participacoes and DCC PLC and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ultrapar Participacoes with a short position of DCC PLC. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ultrapar Participacoes and DCC PLC.

Diversification Opportunities for Ultrapar Participacoes and DCC PLC

-0.53
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ultrapar and DCC is -0.53. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ultrapar Participacoes SA and DCC PLC ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on DCC PLC ADR and Ultrapar Participacoes is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ultrapar Participacoes SA are associated (or correlated) with DCC PLC. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of DCC PLC ADR has no effect on the direction of Ultrapar Participacoes i.e., Ultrapar Participacoes and DCC PLC go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ultrapar Participacoes and DCC PLC

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Ultrapar Participacoes SA is expected to under-perform the DCC PLC. In addition to that, Ultrapar Participacoes is 13.62 times more volatile than DCC PLC ADR. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. DCC PLC ADR is currently generating about 0.09 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,213  in DCC PLC ADR on September 5, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  42.00  from holding DCC PLC ADR or generate 1.9% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ultrapar Participacoes SA  vs.  DCC PLC ADR

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ultrapar Participacoes 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ultrapar Participacoes SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with inconsistent performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors.
DCC PLC ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in DCC PLC ADR are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, DCC PLC is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Ultrapar Participacoes and DCC PLC Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ultrapar Participacoes and DCC PLC

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ultrapar Participacoes and DCC PLC positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ultrapar Participacoes position performs unexpectedly, DCC PLC can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in DCC PLC will offset losses from the drop in DCC PLC's long position.
The idea behind Ultrapar Participacoes SA and DCC PLC ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

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