Correlation Between Intermediate-term and Maryland Tax-free

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Intermediate-term and Maryland Tax-free at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Intermediate-term and Maryland Tax-free into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Intermediate Term Bond Fund and Maryland Tax Free Bond, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Intermediate-term and Maryland Tax-free and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Intermediate-term with a short position of Maryland Tax-free. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Intermediate-term and Maryland Tax-free.

Diversification Opportunities for Intermediate-term and Maryland Tax-free

0.63
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Intermediate-term and Maryland is 0.63. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Intermediate Term Bond Fund and Maryland Tax Free Bond in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Maryland Tax Free and Intermediate-term is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Intermediate Term Bond Fund are associated (or correlated) with Maryland Tax-free. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Maryland Tax Free has no effect on the direction of Intermediate-term i.e., Intermediate-term and Maryland Tax-free go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Intermediate-term and Maryland Tax-free

Assuming the 90 days horizon Intermediate Term Bond Fund is expected to under-perform the Maryland Tax-free. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Intermediate Term Bond Fund is 1.19 times less risky than Maryland Tax-free. The mutual fund trades about -0.46 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Maryland Tax Free Bond is currently generating about -0.38 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,026  in Maryland Tax Free Bond on October 12, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (22.00) from holding Maryland Tax Free Bond or give up 2.14% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Intermediate Term Bond Fund  vs.  Maryland Tax Free Bond

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Intermediate Term Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Intermediate Term Bond Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Intermediate-term is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Maryland Tax Free 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Maryland Tax Free Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Maryland Tax-free is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Intermediate-term and Maryland Tax-free Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Intermediate-term and Maryland Tax-free

The main advantage of trading using opposite Intermediate-term and Maryland Tax-free positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Intermediate-term position performs unexpectedly, Maryland Tax-free can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Maryland Tax-free will offset losses from the drop in Maryland Tax-free's long position.
The idea behind Intermediate Term Bond Fund and Maryland Tax Free Bond pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

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