Correlation Between Ultra Jaya and Kalbe Farma

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ultra Jaya and Kalbe Farma at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ultra Jaya and Kalbe Farma into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ultra Jaya Milk and Kalbe Farma Tbk, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ultra Jaya and Kalbe Farma and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ultra Jaya with a short position of Kalbe Farma. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ultra Jaya and Kalbe Farma.

Diversification Opportunities for Ultra Jaya and Kalbe Farma

0.81
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ultra and Kalbe is 0.81. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ultra Jaya Milk and Kalbe Farma Tbk in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Kalbe Farma Tbk and Ultra Jaya is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ultra Jaya Milk are associated (or correlated) with Kalbe Farma. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Kalbe Farma Tbk has no effect on the direction of Ultra Jaya i.e., Ultra Jaya and Kalbe Farma go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ultra Jaya and Kalbe Farma

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ultra Jaya Milk is expected to generate 0.98 times more return on investment than Kalbe Farma. However, Ultra Jaya Milk is 1.02 times less risky than Kalbe Farma. It trades about -0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Kalbe Farma Tbk is currently generating about -0.26 per unit of risk. If you would invest  184,000  in Ultra Jaya Milk on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (12,000) from holding Ultra Jaya Milk or give up 6.52% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ultra Jaya Milk  vs.  Kalbe Farma Tbk

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ultra Jaya Milk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ultra Jaya Milk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent forward-looking signals, Ultra Jaya is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors.
Kalbe Farma Tbk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Kalbe Farma Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.

Ultra Jaya and Kalbe Farma Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ultra Jaya and Kalbe Farma

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ultra Jaya and Kalbe Farma positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ultra Jaya position performs unexpectedly, Kalbe Farma can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Kalbe Farma will offset losses from the drop in Kalbe Farma's long position.
The idea behind Ultra Jaya Milk and Kalbe Farma Tbk pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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