Correlation Between Ultra Jaya and Semen Baturaja

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Ultra Jaya and Semen Baturaja at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Ultra Jaya and Semen Baturaja into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Ultra Jaya Milk and Semen Baturaja Persero, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Ultra Jaya and Semen Baturaja and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Ultra Jaya with a short position of Semen Baturaja. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Ultra Jaya and Semen Baturaja.

Diversification Opportunities for Ultra Jaya and Semen Baturaja

0.7
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Ultra and Semen is 0.7. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ultra Jaya Milk and Semen Baturaja Persero in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Semen Baturaja Persero and Ultra Jaya is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Ultra Jaya Milk are associated (or correlated) with Semen Baturaja. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Semen Baturaja Persero has no effect on the direction of Ultra Jaya i.e., Ultra Jaya and Semen Baturaja go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Ultra Jaya and Semen Baturaja

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ultra Jaya Milk is expected to generate 2.11 times more return on investment than Semen Baturaja. However, Ultra Jaya is 2.11 times more volatile than Semen Baturaja Persero. It trades about -0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Semen Baturaja Persero is currently generating about -0.24 per unit of risk. If you would invest  166,000  in Ultra Jaya Milk on October 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (3,500) from holding Ultra Jaya Milk or give up 2.11% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Ultra Jaya Milk  vs.  Semen Baturaja Persero

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Ultra Jaya Milk 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Ultra Jaya Milk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
Semen Baturaja Persero 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Semen Baturaja Persero has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.

Ultra Jaya and Semen Baturaja Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Ultra Jaya and Semen Baturaja

The main advantage of trading using opposite Ultra Jaya and Semen Baturaja positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Ultra Jaya position performs unexpectedly, Semen Baturaja can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Semen Baturaja will offset losses from the drop in Semen Baturaja's long position.
The idea behind Ultra Jaya Milk and Semen Baturaja Persero pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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