Correlation Between ProShares UltraPro and First Trust

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both ProShares UltraPro and First Trust at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining ProShares UltraPro and First Trust into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between ProShares UltraPro SP500 and First Trust International, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on ProShares UltraPro and First Trust and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in ProShares UltraPro with a short position of First Trust. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of ProShares UltraPro and First Trust.

Diversification Opportunities for ProShares UltraPro and First Trust

0.93
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between ProShares and First is 0.93. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ProShares UltraPro SP500 and First Trust International in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Trust International and ProShares UltraPro is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on ProShares UltraPro SP500 are associated (or correlated) with First Trust. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Trust International has no effect on the direction of ProShares UltraPro i.e., ProShares UltraPro and First Trust go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between ProShares UltraPro and First Trust

Given the investment horizon of 90 days ProShares UltraPro SP500 is expected to generate 2.32 times more return on investment than First Trust. However, ProShares UltraPro is 2.32 times more volatile than First Trust International. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Trust International is currently generating about 0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  3,612  in ProShares UltraPro SP500 on January 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,666  from holding ProShares UltraPro SP500 or generate 73.81% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

ProShares UltraPro SP500  vs.  First Trust International

 Performance 
       Timeline  
ProShares UltraPro SP500 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days ProShares UltraPro SP500 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Etf's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in May 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the ETF investors.
First Trust International 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days First Trust International has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fairly strong basic indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

ProShares UltraPro and First Trust Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with ProShares UltraPro and First Trust

The main advantage of trading using opposite ProShares UltraPro and First Trust positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if ProShares UltraPro position performs unexpectedly, First Trust can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Trust will offset losses from the drop in First Trust's long position.
The idea behind ProShares UltraPro SP500 and First Trust International pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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