Correlation Between US Treasury and IShares MSCI

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both US Treasury and IShares MSCI at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining US Treasury and IShares MSCI into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between US Treasury 20 and iShares MSCI ACWI, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on US Treasury and IShares MSCI and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in US Treasury with a short position of IShares MSCI. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of US Treasury and IShares MSCI.

Diversification Opportunities for US Treasury and IShares MSCI

-0.65
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between UTWY and IShares is -0.65. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding US Treasury 20 and iShares MSCI ACWI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on iShares MSCI ACWI and US Treasury is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on US Treasury 20 are associated (or correlated) with IShares MSCI. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of iShares MSCI ACWI has no effect on the direction of US Treasury i.e., US Treasury and IShares MSCI go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between US Treasury and IShares MSCI

Given the investment horizon of 90 days US Treasury 20 is expected to under-perform the IShares MSCI. In addition to that, US Treasury is 1.08 times more volatile than iShares MSCI ACWI. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. iShares MSCI ACWI is currently generating about 0.1 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  8,419  in iShares MSCI ACWI on August 27, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,625  from holding iShares MSCI ACWI or generate 43.06% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy84.88%
ValuesDaily Returns

US Treasury 20  vs.  iShares MSCI ACWI

 Performance 
       Timeline  
US Treasury 20 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days US Treasury 20 has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, US Treasury is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
iShares MSCI ACWI 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in iShares MSCI ACWI are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly strong basic indicators, IShares MSCI is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price confusion, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the traders.

US Treasury and IShares MSCI Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with US Treasury and IShares MSCI

The main advantage of trading using opposite US Treasury and IShares MSCI positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if US Treasury position performs unexpectedly, IShares MSCI can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in IShares MSCI will offset losses from the drop in IShares MSCI's long position.
The idea behind US Treasury 20 and iShares MSCI ACWI pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

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