Correlation Between Virginia National and Valley National

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Virginia National and Valley National at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Virginia National and Valley National into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Virginia National Bankshares and Valley National Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Virginia National and Valley National and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Virginia National with a short position of Valley National. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Virginia National and Valley National.

Diversification Opportunities for Virginia National and Valley National

VirginiaValleyDiversified AwayVirginiaValleyDiversified Away100%
-0.47
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Virginia and Valley is -0.47. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Virginia National Bankshares and Valley National Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Valley National Bancorp and Virginia National is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Virginia National Bankshares are associated (or correlated) with Valley National. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Valley National Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Virginia National i.e., Virginia National and Valley National go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Virginia National and Valley National

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Virginia National is expected to generate 2.29 times less return on investment than Valley National. In addition to that, Virginia National is 1.35 times more volatile than Valley National Bancorp. It trades about 0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Valley National Bancorp is currently generating about 0.04 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  1,816  in Valley National Bancorp on December 12, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  644.00  from holding Valley National Bancorp or generate 35.46% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Virginia National Bankshares  vs.  Valley National Bancorp

 Performance 
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Dec2025Feb -15-10-505
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15VABK VLYPP
       Timeline  
Virginia National 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Virginia National Bankshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15JanFebMarFebMar343536373839404142
Valley National Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Valley National Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, Valley National is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15JanFebMarFebMar24.624.82525.225.425.6

Virginia National and Valley National Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15-3.07-2.3-1.53-0.76-0.010.661.352.042.733.41 0.20.40.60.8
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15VABK VLYPP
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Virginia National and Valley National

The main advantage of trading using opposite Virginia National and Valley National positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Virginia National position performs unexpectedly, Valley National can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Valley National will offset losses from the drop in Valley National's long position.
The idea behind Virginia National Bankshares and Valley National Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

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