Correlation Between International Government and Stock Index

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both International Government and Stock Index at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining International Government and Stock Index into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between International Government Bond and Stock Index Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on International Government and Stock Index and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in International Government with a short position of Stock Index. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of International Government and Stock Index.

Diversification Opportunities for International Government and Stock Index

-0.71
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between International and Stock is -0.71. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding International Government Bond and Stock Index Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Stock Index Fund and International Government is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on International Government Bond are associated (or correlated) with Stock Index. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Stock Index Fund has no effect on the direction of International Government i.e., International Government and Stock Index go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between International Government and Stock Index

Assuming the 90 days horizon International Government is expected to generate 25.0 times less return on investment than Stock Index. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, International Government Bond is 2.17 times less risky than Stock Index. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Stock Index Fund is currently generating about 0.15 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  5,890  in Stock Index Fund on August 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  174.00  from holding Stock Index Fund or generate 2.95% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy95.65%
ValuesDaily Returns

International Government Bond  vs.  Stock Index Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
International Government 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days International Government Bond has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, International Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Stock Index Fund 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Stock Index Fund are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Stock Index may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

International Government and Stock Index Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with International Government and Stock Index

The main advantage of trading using opposite International Government and Stock Index positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if International Government position performs unexpectedly, Stock Index can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Stock Index will offset losses from the drop in Stock Index's long position.
The idea behind International Government Bond and Stock Index Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.

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