Correlation Between Vanguard 500 and Nuveen Municipal

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard 500 and Nuveen Municipal at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard 500 and Nuveen Municipal into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard 500 Index and Nuveen Municipal High, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard 500 and Nuveen Municipal and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard 500 with a short position of Nuveen Municipal. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard 500 and Nuveen Municipal.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard 500 and Nuveen Municipal

-0.73
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Nuveen is -0.73. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard 500 Index and Nuveen Municipal High in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Nuveen Municipal High and Vanguard 500 is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard 500 Index are associated (or correlated) with Nuveen Municipal. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Nuveen Municipal High has no effect on the direction of Vanguard 500 i.e., Vanguard 500 and Nuveen Municipal go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard 500 and Nuveen Municipal

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard 500 Index is expected to generate 1.26 times more return on investment than Nuveen Municipal. However, Vanguard 500 is 1.26 times more volatile than Nuveen Municipal High. It trades about 0.34 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Nuveen Municipal High is currently generating about 0.18 per unit of risk. If you would invest  52,910  in Vanguard 500 Index on September 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,869  from holding Vanguard 500 Index or generate 5.42% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard 500 Index  vs.  Nuveen Municipal High

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard 500 Index 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

15 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard 500 Index are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard 500 may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Nuveen Municipal High 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Nuveen Municipal High has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Nuveen Municipal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard 500 and Nuveen Municipal Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard 500 and Nuveen Municipal

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard 500 and Nuveen Municipal positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard 500 position performs unexpectedly, Nuveen Municipal can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Nuveen Municipal will offset losses from the drop in Nuveen Municipal's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard 500 Index and Nuveen Municipal High pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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