Correlation Between Vanguard Extended and Trillium Small/mid

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Extended and Trillium Small/mid at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Extended and Trillium Small/mid into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Extended Market and Trillium Smallmid Cap, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Extended and Trillium Small/mid and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Extended with a short position of Trillium Small/mid. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Extended and Trillium Small/mid.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Extended and Trillium Small/mid

0.98
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Trillium is 0.98. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Extended Market and Trillium Smallmid Cap in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Trillium Smallmid Cap and Vanguard Extended is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Extended Market are associated (or correlated) with Trillium Small/mid. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Trillium Smallmid Cap has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Extended i.e., Vanguard Extended and Trillium Small/mid go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Extended and Trillium Small/mid

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Extended Market is expected to generate 1.22 times more return on investment than Trillium Small/mid. However, Vanguard Extended is 1.22 times more volatile than Trillium Smallmid Cap. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Trillium Smallmid Cap is currently generating about 0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  13,010  in Vanguard Extended Market on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,537  from holding Vanguard Extended Market or generate 19.5% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Extended Market  vs.  Trillium Smallmid Cap

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Extended Market 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

19 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Extended Market are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Vanguard Extended showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Trillium Smallmid Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Trillium Smallmid Cap are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental indicators, Trillium Small/mid may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Vanguard Extended and Trillium Small/mid Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Extended and Trillium Small/mid

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Extended and Trillium Small/mid positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Extended position performs unexpectedly, Trillium Small/mid can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Trillium Small/mid will offset losses from the drop in Trillium Small/mid's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Extended Market and Trillium Smallmid Cap pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

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