Correlation Between Vanguard Inflation and Real Return

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Inflation and Real Return at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Inflation and Real Return into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Inflation Protected Securities and Real Return Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Inflation and Real Return and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Inflation with a short position of Real Return. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Inflation and Real Return.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Inflation and Real Return

0.96
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Real is 0.96. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Inflation Protected S and Real Return Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Real Return Fund and Vanguard Inflation is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Inflation Protected Securities are associated (or correlated) with Real Return. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Real Return Fund has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Inflation i.e., Vanguard Inflation and Real Return go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Inflation and Real Return

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Inflation Protected Securities is expected to generate about the same return on investment as Real Return Fund. But, Vanguard Inflation Protected Securities is 1.02 times less risky than Real Return. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Real Return Fund is currently generating about 0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  944.00  in Real Return Fund on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  71.00  from holding Real Return Fund or generate 7.52% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Inflation Protected S  vs.  Real Return Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Inflation 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Inflation Protected Securities has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Inflation is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Real Return Fund 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Real Return Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Real Return is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Vanguard Inflation and Real Return Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Inflation and Real Return

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Inflation and Real Return positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Inflation position performs unexpectedly, Real Return can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Real Return will offset losses from the drop in Real Return's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Inflation Protected Securities and Real Return Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

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