Correlation Between Vanguard Total and Large Cap

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Total and Large Cap at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Total and Large Cap into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Total Stock and Large Cap Core, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Total and Large Cap and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Total with a short position of Large Cap. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Total and Large Cap.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Total and Large Cap

0.43
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Large is 0.43. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Total Stock and Large Cap Core in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Large Cap Core and Vanguard Total is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Total Stock are associated (or correlated) with Large Cap. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Large Cap Core has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Total i.e., Vanguard Total and Large Cap go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Total and Large Cap

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Total Stock is expected to generate 1.08 times more return on investment than Large Cap. However, Vanguard Total is 1.08 times more volatile than Large Cap Core. It trades about -0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Large Cap Core is currently generating about -0.17 per unit of risk. If you would invest  14,462  in Vanguard Total Stock on November 27, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (131.00) from holding Vanguard Total Stock or give up 0.91% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Total Stock  vs.  Large Cap Core

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Total Stock 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Total Stock has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard Total is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Large Cap Core 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Large Cap Core has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's forward indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.

Vanguard Total and Large Cap Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Total and Large Cap

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Total and Large Cap positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Total position performs unexpectedly, Large Cap can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Large Cap will offset losses from the drop in Large Cap's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Total Stock and Large Cap Core pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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