Correlation Between Vanguard Mid and Royce Dividend

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Mid and Royce Dividend at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Mid and Royce Dividend into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Mid Cap Index and Royce Dividend Value, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Mid and Royce Dividend and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Mid with a short position of Royce Dividend. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Mid and Royce Dividend.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Mid and Royce Dividend

0.98
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Royce is 0.98. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Mid Cap Index and Royce Dividend Value in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Royce Dividend Value and Vanguard Mid is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Mid Cap Index are associated (or correlated) with Royce Dividend. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Royce Dividend Value has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Mid i.e., Vanguard Mid and Royce Dividend go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Mid and Royce Dividend

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Mid Cap Index is expected to generate 0.7 times more return on investment than Royce Dividend. However, Vanguard Mid Cap Index is 1.43 times less risky than Royce Dividend. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Royce Dividend Value is currently generating about 0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  6,012  in Vanguard Mid Cap Index on September 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,744  from holding Vanguard Mid Cap Index or generate 29.01% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Mid Cap Index  vs.  Royce Dividend Value

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Mid Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

20 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Mid Cap Index are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak forward indicators, Vanguard Mid may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Royce Dividend Value 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Royce Dividend Value are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Royce Dividend may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.

Vanguard Mid and Royce Dividend Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Mid and Royce Dividend

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Mid and Royce Dividend positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Mid position performs unexpectedly, Royce Dividend can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Royce Dividend will offset losses from the drop in Royce Dividend's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Mid Cap Index and Royce Dividend Value pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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