Correlation Between Vanguard Mid and Direxion Shares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Mid and Direxion Shares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Mid and Direxion Shares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Mid Cap Index and Direxion Shares ETF, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Mid and Direxion Shares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Mid with a short position of Direxion Shares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Mid and Direxion Shares.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Mid and Direxion Shares

-0.45
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Direxion is -0.45. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Mid Cap Index and Direxion Shares ETF in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Direxion Shares ETF and Vanguard Mid is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Mid Cap Index are associated (or correlated) with Direxion Shares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Direxion Shares ETF has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Mid i.e., Vanguard Mid and Direxion Shares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Mid and Direxion Shares

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Vanguard Mid Cap Index is expected to generate 0.22 times more return on investment than Direxion Shares. However, Vanguard Mid Cap Index is 4.58 times less risky than Direxion Shares. It trades about 0.34 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Direxion Shares ETF is currently generating about -0.08 per unit of risk. If you would invest  26,413  in Vanguard Mid Cap Index on November 1, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,342  from holding Vanguard Mid Cap Index or generate 5.08% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Mid Cap Index  vs.  Direxion Shares ETF

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Mid Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Mid Cap Index are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak basic indicators, Vanguard Mid may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2025.
Direxion Shares ETF 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Direxion Shares ETF has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Etf's fundamental drivers remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the fund shareholders.

Vanguard Mid and Direxion Shares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Mid and Direxion Shares

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Mid and Direxion Shares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Mid position performs unexpectedly, Direxion Shares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Direxion Shares will offset losses from the drop in Direxion Shares' long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Mid Cap Index and Direxion Shares ETF pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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