Correlation Between Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Mid Cap Index and ProShares UltraShort MidCap400, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Mid with a short position of ProShares UltraShort. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort

-0.97
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and ProShares is -0.97. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Mid Cap Index and ProShares UltraShort MidCap400 in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ProShares UltraShort and Vanguard Mid is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Mid Cap Index are associated (or correlated) with ProShares UltraShort. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ProShares UltraShort has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Mid i.e., Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Vanguard Mid Cap Index is expected to generate 0.4 times more return on investment than ProShares UltraShort. However, Vanguard Mid Cap Index is 2.52 times less risky than ProShares UltraShort. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ProShares UltraShort MidCap400 is currently generating about -0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  22,426  in Vanguard Mid Cap Index on November 9, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  5,287  from holding Vanguard Mid Cap Index or generate 23.58% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy99.63%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Mid Cap Index  vs.  ProShares UltraShort MidCap400

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Mid Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Mid Cap Index has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Vanguard Mid is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
ProShares UltraShort 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Insignificant

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares UltraShort MidCap400 are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unsteady basic indicators, ProShares UltraShort may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2025.

Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Mid and ProShares UltraShort positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Mid position performs unexpectedly, ProShares UltraShort can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares UltraShort will offset losses from the drop in ProShares UltraShort's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Mid Cap Index and ProShares UltraShort MidCap400 pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

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