Correlation Between Vanguard Total and ProShares Ultra

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Total and ProShares Ultra at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Total and ProShares Ultra into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Total Stock and ProShares Ultra MSCI, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Total and ProShares Ultra and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Total with a short position of ProShares Ultra. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Total and ProShares Ultra.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Total and ProShares Ultra

-0.81
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and ProShares is -0.81. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Total Stock and ProShares Ultra MSCI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ProShares Ultra MSCI and Vanguard Total is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Total Stock are associated (or correlated) with ProShares Ultra. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ProShares Ultra MSCI has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Total i.e., Vanguard Total and ProShares Ultra go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Total and ProShares Ultra

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vanguard Total Stock is expected to generate 0.31 times more return on investment than ProShares Ultra. However, Vanguard Total Stock is 3.19 times less risky than ProShares Ultra. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. ProShares Ultra MSCI is currently generating about -0.06 per unit of risk. If you would invest  26,194  in Vanguard Total Stock on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,792  from holding Vanguard Total Stock or generate 14.48% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Total Stock  vs.  ProShares Ultra MSCI

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Total Stock 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

16 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Total Stock are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly unfluctuating basic indicators, Vanguard Total may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
ProShares Ultra MSCI 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days ProShares Ultra MSCI has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Etf's fundamental drivers remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the ETF retail investors.

Vanguard Total and ProShares Ultra Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Total and ProShares Ultra

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Total and ProShares Ultra positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Total position performs unexpectedly, ProShares Ultra can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ProShares Ultra will offset losses from the drop in ProShares Ultra's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Total Stock and ProShares Ultra MSCI pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

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