Correlation Between Vanguard Developed and Vanguard Small-cap

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard Developed and Vanguard Small-cap at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard Developed and Vanguard Small-cap into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard Developed Markets and Vanguard Small Cap Index, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard Developed and Vanguard Small-cap and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard Developed with a short position of Vanguard Small-cap. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard Developed and Vanguard Small-cap.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard Developed and Vanguard Small-cap

-0.58
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Vanguard is -0.58. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard Developed Markets and Vanguard Small Cap Index in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Small Cap and Vanguard Developed is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard Developed Markets are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Small-cap. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Small Cap has no effect on the direction of Vanguard Developed i.e., Vanguard Developed and Vanguard Small-cap go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard Developed and Vanguard Small-cap

Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Developed Markets is expected to under-perform the Vanguard Small-cap. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Vanguard Developed Markets is 1.71 times less risky than Vanguard Small-cap. The mutual fund trades about -0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Vanguard Small Cap Index is currently generating about 0.33 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  11,455  in Vanguard Small Cap Index on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,064  from holding Vanguard Small Cap Index or generate 9.29% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy95.65%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard Developed Markets  vs.  Vanguard Small Cap Index

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard Developed 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Developed Markets has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Vanguard Developed is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Vanguard Small Cap 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

15 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Small Cap Index are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Vanguard Small-cap may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

Vanguard Developed and Vanguard Small-cap Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard Developed and Vanguard Small-cap

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard Developed and Vanguard Small-cap positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard Developed position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Small-cap can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Small-cap will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Small-cap's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard Developed Markets and Vanguard Small Cap Index pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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