Correlation Between Vanguard and Pershing Square

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard and Pershing Square at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard and Pershing Square into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard SP 500 and Pershing Square Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard and Pershing Square and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard with a short position of Pershing Square. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard and Pershing Square.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard and Pershing Square

-0.4
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Pershing is -0.4. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard SP 500 and Pershing Square Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Pershing Square Holdings and Vanguard is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard SP 500 are associated (or correlated) with Pershing Square. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Pershing Square Holdings has no effect on the direction of Vanguard i.e., Vanguard and Pershing Square go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard and Pershing Square

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vanguard SP 500 is expected to generate 0.62 times more return on investment than Pershing Square. However, Vanguard SP 500 is 1.62 times less risky than Pershing Square. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Pershing Square Holdings is currently generating about -0.05 per unit of risk. If you would invest  9,138  in Vanguard SP 500 on August 30, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,687  from holding Vanguard SP 500 or generate 18.46% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy97.67%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard SP 500  vs.  Pershing Square Holdings

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard SP 500 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

17 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard SP 500 are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Vanguard may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.
Pershing Square Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Pershing Square Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Pershing Square is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

Vanguard and Pershing Square Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard and Pershing Square

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard and Pershing Square positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard position performs unexpectedly, Pershing Square can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Pershing Square will offset losses from the drop in Pershing Square's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard SP 500 and Pershing Square Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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