Correlation Between Vanguard International and Vanguard Index

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Vanguard International and Vanguard Index at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Vanguard International and Vanguard Index into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Vanguard International Equity and Vanguard Index Funds, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Vanguard International and Vanguard Index and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Vanguard International with a short position of Vanguard Index. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Vanguard International and Vanguard Index.

Diversification Opportunities for Vanguard International and Vanguard Index

0.68
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Vanguard and Vanguard is 0.68. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Vanguard International Equity and Vanguard Index Funds in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Vanguard Index Funds and Vanguard International is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Vanguard International Equity are associated (or correlated) with Vanguard Index. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Vanguard Index Funds has no effect on the direction of Vanguard International i.e., Vanguard International and Vanguard Index go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Vanguard International and Vanguard Index

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vanguard International Equity is expected to generate 0.79 times more return on investment than Vanguard Index. However, Vanguard International Equity is 1.27 times less risky than Vanguard Index. It trades about -0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Vanguard Index Funds is currently generating about -0.23 per unit of risk. If you would invest  92,400  in Vanguard International Equity on January 23, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (6,000) from holding Vanguard International Equity or give up 6.49% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Vanguard International Equity  vs.  Vanguard Index Funds

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Vanguard International 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vanguard International Equity has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Vanguard International is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Vanguard Index Funds 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Vanguard Index Funds has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Etf's forward indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in May 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the ETF investors.

Vanguard International and Vanguard Index Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Vanguard International and Vanguard Index

The main advantage of trading using opposite Vanguard International and Vanguard Index positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Vanguard International position performs unexpectedly, Vanguard Index can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vanguard Index will offset losses from the drop in Vanguard Index's long position.
The idea behind Vanguard International Equity and Vanguard Index Funds pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

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