Correlation Between Mini Dow and 10 Year

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Mini Dow and 10 Year at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Mini Dow and 10 Year into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Mini Dow Jones and 10 Year T Note Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Mini Dow and 10 Year and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Mini Dow with a short position of 10 Year. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Mini Dow and 10 Year.

Diversification Opportunities for Mini Dow and 10 Year

MiniZNUSDDiversified AwayMiniZNUSDDiversified Away100%
0.61
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Mini and ZNUSD is 0.61. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Mini Dow Jones and 10 Year T Note Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on 10 Year T and Mini Dow is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Mini Dow Jones are associated (or correlated) with 10 Year. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of 10 Year T has no effect on the direction of Mini Dow i.e., Mini Dow and 10 Year go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Mini Dow and 10 Year

Assuming the 90 days horizon Mini Dow Jones is expected to under-perform the 10 Year. In addition to that, Mini Dow is 1.84 times more volatile than 10 Year T Note Futures. It trades about -0.18 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. 10 Year T Note Futures is currently generating about 0.15 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  10,847  in 10 Year T Note Futures on November 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  122.00  from holding 10 Year T Note Futures or generate 1.12% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Mini Dow Jones  vs.  10 Year T Note Futures

 Performance 
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Dec2025Feb -4-3-2-1012
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15YMUSD ZNUSD
       Timeline  
Mini Dow Jones 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Mini Dow Jones has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Mini Dow is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15DecJanFebJanFeb42,00042,50043,00043,50044,00044,50045,000
10 Year T 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days 10 Year T Note Futures has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, 10 Year is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15DecJanFebJanFeb107.5108108.5109109.5110110.5111111.5

Mini Dow and 10 Year Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15-1.14-0.83-0.52-0.21-0.0097230.160.470.781.091.4 0.51.01.52.02.53.03.5
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15YMUSD ZNUSD
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Mini Dow and 10 Year

The main advantage of trading using opposite Mini Dow and 10 Year positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Mini Dow position performs unexpectedly, 10 Year can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in 10 Year will offset losses from the drop in 10 Year's long position.
The idea behind Mini Dow Jones and 10 Year T Note Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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