Correlation Between 30 Year and 2 Year
Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both 30 Year and 2 Year at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining 30 Year and 2 Year into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between 30 Year Treasury and 2 Year T Note Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on 30 Year and 2 Year and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in 30 Year with a short position of 2 Year. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of 30 Year and 2 Year.
Diversification Opportunities for 30 Year and 2 Year
Almost no diversification
The 3 months correlation between ZBUSD and ZTUSD is 0.91. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding 30 Year Treasury and 2 Year T Note Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on 2 Year T and 30 Year is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on 30 Year Treasury are associated (or correlated) with 2 Year. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of 2 Year T has no effect on the direction of 30 Year i.e., 30 Year and 2 Year go up and down completely randomly.
Pair Corralation between 30 Year and 2 Year
Assuming the 90 days horizon 30 Year Treasury is expected to generate 5.2 times more return on investment than 2 Year. However, 30 Year is 5.2 times more volatile than 2 Year T Note Futures. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. 2 Year T Note Futures is currently generating about 0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest 11,606 in 30 Year Treasury on August 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of 263.00 from holding 30 Year Treasury or generate 2.27% return on investment over 90 days.
| Time Period | 3 Months [change] |
| Direction | Moves Together |
| Strength | Very Strong |
| Accuracy | 100.0% |
| Values | Daily Returns |
30 Year Treasury vs. 2 Year T Note Futures
Performance |
| Timeline |
| 30 Year Treasury |
| 2 Year T |
30 Year and 2 Year Volatility Contrast
Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
Pair Trading with 30 Year and 2 Year
The main advantage of trading using opposite 30 Year and 2 Year positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if 30 Year position performs unexpectedly, 2 Year can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in 2 Year will offset losses from the drop in 2 Year's long position.The idea behind 30 Year Treasury and 2 Year T Note Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.| 2 Year vs. Natural Gas | 2 Year vs. Five Year Treasury Note | 2 Year vs. Micro Gold Futures | 2 Year vs. Class III Milk |
Check out your portfolio center.Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
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