Correlation Between Oat Futures and Cocoa

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Oat Futures and Cocoa at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Oat Futures and Cocoa into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Oat Futures and Cocoa, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Oat Futures and Cocoa and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Oat Futures with a short position of Cocoa. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Oat Futures and Cocoa.

Diversification Opportunities for Oat Futures and Cocoa

-0.54
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Oat and Cocoa is -0.54. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Oat Futures and Cocoa in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cocoa and Oat Futures is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Oat Futures are associated (or correlated) with Cocoa. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cocoa has no effect on the direction of Oat Futures i.e., Oat Futures and Cocoa go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Oat Futures and Cocoa

Assuming the 90 days horizon Oat Futures is expected to generate 0.58 times more return on investment than Cocoa. However, Oat Futures is 1.71 times less risky than Cocoa. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Cocoa is currently generating about 0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  32,950  in Oat Futures on November 2, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,975  from holding Oat Futures or generate 5.99% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Oat Futures  vs.  Cocoa

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Oat Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Oat Futures has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Commodity's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for Oat Futures investors.
Cocoa 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cocoa are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak basic indicators, Cocoa exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Oat Futures and Cocoa Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Oat Futures and Cocoa

The main advantage of trading using opposite Oat Futures and Cocoa positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Oat Futures position performs unexpectedly, Cocoa can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cocoa will offset losses from the drop in Cocoa's long position.
The idea behind Oat Futures and Cocoa pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

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