Correlation Between Oat Futures and Gasoline RBOB

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Oat Futures and Gasoline RBOB at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Oat Futures and Gasoline RBOB into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Oat Futures and Gasoline RBOB, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Oat Futures and Gasoline RBOB and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Oat Futures with a short position of Gasoline RBOB. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Oat Futures and Gasoline RBOB.

Diversification Opportunities for Oat Futures and Gasoline RBOB

0.01
  Correlation Coefficient

Significant diversification

The 3 months correlation between Oat and Gasoline is 0.01. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Oat Futures and Gasoline RBOB in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Gasoline RBOB and Oat Futures is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Oat Futures are associated (or correlated) with Gasoline RBOB. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Gasoline RBOB has no effect on the direction of Oat Futures i.e., Oat Futures and Gasoline RBOB go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Oat Futures and Gasoline RBOB

Assuming the 90 days horizon Oat Futures is expected to generate 1.21 times more return on investment than Gasoline RBOB. However, Oat Futures is 1.21 times more volatile than Gasoline RBOB. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Gasoline RBOB is currently generating about -0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  37,300  in Oat Futures on August 25, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (250.00) from holding Oat Futures or give up 0.67% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy99.48%
ValuesDaily Returns

Oat Futures  vs.  Gasoline RBOB

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Oat Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Oat Futures are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly unsteady basic indicators, Oat Futures showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Gasoline RBOB 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Gasoline RBOB has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Gasoline RBOB is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Oat Futures and Gasoline RBOB Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Oat Futures and Gasoline RBOB

The main advantage of trading using opposite Oat Futures and Gasoline RBOB positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Oat Futures position performs unexpectedly, Gasoline RBOB can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Gasoline RBOB will offset losses from the drop in Gasoline RBOB's long position.
The idea behind Oat Futures and Gasoline RBOB pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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