Correlation Between 2 Year and 10 Year

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both 2 Year and 10 Year at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining 2 Year and 10 Year into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between 2 Year T Note Futures and 10 Year T Note Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on 2 Year and 10 Year and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in 2 Year with a short position of 10 Year. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of 2 Year and 10 Year.

Diversification Opportunities for 2 Year and 10 Year

0.99
  Correlation Coefficient

No risk reduction

The 3 months correlation between ZTUSD and ZNUSD is 0.99. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding 2 Year T Note Futures and 10 Year T Note Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on 10 Year T and 2 Year is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on 2 Year T Note Futures are associated (or correlated) with 10 Year. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of 10 Year T has no effect on the direction of 2 Year i.e., 2 Year and 10 Year go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between 2 Year and 10 Year

Assuming the 90 days horizon 2 Year is expected to generate 1.39 times less return on investment than 10 Year. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, 2 Year T Note Futures is 3.6 times less risky than 10 Year. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. 10 Year T Note Futures is currently generating about 0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  10,963  in 10 Year T Note Futures on September 18, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  32.00  from holding 10 Year T Note Futures or generate 0.29% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

2 Year T Note Futures  vs.  10 Year T Note Futures

 Performance 
       Timeline  
2 Year T 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days 2 Year T Note Futures has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, 2 Year is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
10 Year T 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days 10 Year T Note Futures has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, 10 Year is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

2 Year and 10 Year Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with 2 Year and 10 Year

The main advantage of trading using opposite 2 Year and 10 Year positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if 2 Year position performs unexpectedly, 10 Year can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in 10 Year will offset losses from the drop in 10 Year's long position.
The idea behind 2 Year T Note Futures and 10 Year T Note Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

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