Ares Commercial Real Stock Performance

ACRE Stock  USD 5.17  0.11  2.08%   
Ares Commercial has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.09, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Ares Commercial returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ares Commercial is expected to follow. Ares Commercial Real right now shows a risk of 2.51%. Please confirm Ares Commercial Real treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to decide if Ares Commercial Real will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ares Commercial Real are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather weak basic indicators, Ares Commercial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.08)
Five Day Return
(0.58)
Year To Date Return
9.3
Ten Year Return
(47.72)
All Time Return
(71.28)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.1136
Payout Ratio
22.6667
Forward Dividend Rate
0.6
Dividend Date
2026-01-15
Ex Dividend Date
2026-03-31
1
Acquisition by Bryan Donohoe of 49500 shares of Ares Commercial subject to Rule 16b-3
12/11/2025
2
Acquisition by Jeffrey Gonzales of 44000 shares of Ares Commercial subject to Rule 16b-3
12/23/2025
3
Ares Commercial Real Estate High Yield, Higher Questions as ACRE Trades Near Its Lows - AD HOC NEWS
12/31/2025
4
These 2 Finance Stocks Could Beat Earnings Why They Should Be on Your Radar
01/07/2026
5
All You Need to Know About Ares Commercial Real Estate Rating Upgrade to Strong Buy
01/09/2026
6
Disposition of 7606 shares by Anton Feingold of Ares Commercial at 4.9276 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/14/2026
 
Ares Commercial dividend paid on 15th of January 2026
01/15/2026
8
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Given Consensus Recommendation of Hold by Analysts - MarketBeat
01/20/2026
9
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation Announces Tax Reporting Information for Calendar Year 2025
01/30/2026
10
Ares Commercial Real Estate to Release Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat
02/03/2026
11
Acquisition by Bryan Donohoe of 45000 shares of Ares Commercial subject to Rule 16b-3
02/05/2026
12
Ares Commercial Real Estate Q4 2025 Earnings Preview
02/09/2026
13
Ares Commercial Real Estate signals active portfolio reshaping and targets resolutions on risk rated loans in 2026
02/10/2026
14
Ares Commercial Real Estate Q4 Revenue Slump Reinforces Bearish Credit Risk Narratives
02/11/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow66.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities148.1 M

Ares Commercial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  471.00  in Ares Commercial Real on November 16, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  46.00  from holding Ares Commercial Real or generate 9.77% return on investment over 90 days. Ares Commercial Real is currently generating 0.183% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.5097% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Ares, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ares Commercial is expected to generate 3.26 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.26 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Ares Commercial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ares Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.17 90 days 5.17 
about 20.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ares Commercial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 20.66 (This Ares Commercial Real probability density function shows the probability of Ares Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.09 . This suggests Ares Commercial Real market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ares Commercial is expected to follow. Additionally Ares Commercial Real has an alpha of 0.1239, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ares Commercial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ares Commercial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ares Commercial Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.635.147.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.725.237.74
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.825.305.88
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.090.100.13
Details

Ares Commercial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ares Commercial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ares Commercial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ares Commercial Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ares Commercial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Ares Commercial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ares Commercial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ares Commercial Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 85.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (902 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 72.68 M.
On 15th of January 2026 Ares Commercial paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Ares Commercial Real Estate Q4 Revenue Slump Reinforces Bearish Credit Risk Narratives

Ares Commercial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ares Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ares Commercial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ares Commercial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding54.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments29.3 M

Ares Commercial Fundamentals Growth

Ares Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ares Commercial, and Ares Commercial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ares Stock performance.

About Ares Commercial Performance

By analyzing Ares Commercial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Ares Commercial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Ares Commercial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ares Commercial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.06 

Things to note about Ares Commercial Real performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ares Commercial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ares Commercial Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 85.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (902 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 72.68 M.
On 15th of January 2026 Ares Commercial paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Ares Commercial Real Estate Q4 Revenue Slump Reinforces Bearish Credit Risk Narratives
Evaluating Ares Commercial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ares Commercial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ares Commercial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ares Commercial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ares Commercial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ares Commercial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ares Commercial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ares Commercial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ares Commercial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ares Commercial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ares Commercial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Ares Commercial's price analysis, check to measure Ares Commercial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ares Commercial is operating at the current time. Most of Ares Commercial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ares Commercial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ares Commercial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ares Commercial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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