The Arbitrage Event Driven Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

AGEAX Fund  USD 12.70  0.01  0.08%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0233, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Arbitrage Event's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Arbitrage Event is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in The Arbitrage Event Driven are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Arbitrage Event is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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AGEAX Activity Coverage Across ASX 200 Index and Broader Market Landscape - Kalkine Media
02/03/2026
Expense Ratio Date26th of September 2025
Expense Ratio1.7100
  

Arbitrage Event Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,249  in The Arbitrage Event Driven on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  21.00  from holding The Arbitrage Event Driven or generate 1.68% return on investment over 90 days. The Arbitrage Event Driven is currently producing 0.0279% returns and takes up 0.1083% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 0% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Arbitrage, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Arbitrage Event is expected to generate 3.67 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 7.17 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.26 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Arbitrage Event Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
12.70
Please note that Arbitrage Event's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Arbitrage Event shows a prevailing Real Value of $11.66 per share. The current price of the fund is $12.7. We determine the value of Arbitrage Event from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Arbitrage Event is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Arbitrage Mutual Fund. However, Arbitrage Event's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  12.7 Real  11.66 Hype  12.7
The intrinsic value of Arbitrage Event's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Arbitrage Event's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
11.66
Real Value
13.97
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of The Arbitrage Event Driven helps investors to forecast how Arbitrage mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Arbitrage Event more accurately as focusing exclusively on Arbitrage Event's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.5912.7012.81
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for The Arbitrage Event Driven extending back to May 31, 2013. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Arbitrage Event stands at 12.70, as last reported on the 13th of February 2026, with the highest price reaching 12.70 and the lowest price hitting 12.70 during the day.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Arbitrage Event Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Arbitrage Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.70 90 days 12.70 
about 10.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arbitrage Event to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.47 (This The Arbitrage Event Driven probability density function shows the probability of Arbitrage Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Arbitrage Event has a beta of 0.0233. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Arbitrage Event average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Arbitrage Event Driven will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Arbitrage Event Driven has an alpha of 0.0173, implying that it can generate a 0.0173 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Arbitrage Event Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Arbitrage Event

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arbitrage Event. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.5912.7012.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5511.6613.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Arbitrage Event. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Arbitrage Event's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Arbitrage Event's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Arbitrage Event.

Arbitrage Event Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arbitrage Event is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arbitrage Event's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Arbitrage Event Driven, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arbitrage Event within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.47

Arbitrage Event Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arbitrage Event for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arbitrage Event can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: AGEAX Activity Coverage Across ASX 200 Index and Broader Market Landscape - Kalkine Media
The fund holds about 9.65% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Arbitrage Event Fundamentals Growth

Arbitrage Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Arbitrage Event, and Arbitrage Event fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Arbitrage Mutual Fund performance.

About Arbitrage Event Performance

Evaluating Arbitrage Event's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Arbitrage Event has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Arbitrage Event has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests in equity and debt and debt-like instruments of companies whose prices the funds investment adviser believes are or will be impacted by a corporate event. Specifically, the fund employs investment strategies designed to capture price movements generated by corporate events such as mergers, acquisitions, asset sales, restructurings, refinancings, recapitalizations, reorganizations or other special situations . It is non-diversified.

Things to note about Arbitrage Event performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Arbitrage Event for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Arbitrage Event help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: AGEAX Activity Coverage Across ASX 200 Index and Broader Market Landscape - Kalkine Media
The fund holds about 9.65% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Arbitrage Event's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Arbitrage Event's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Arbitrage Event's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Arbitrage Event's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Arbitrage Event's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Arbitrage Event's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Arbitrage Event's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Arbitrage Event's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Arbitrage Event's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Arbitrage Event's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Arbitrage Event's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Arbitrage Mutual Fund

Arbitrage Event financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arbitrage Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arbitrage with respect to the benefits of owning Arbitrage Event security.
Price Exposure Probability
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