The Arbitrage Event Driven Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

AGEAX Fund  USD 11.71  0.01  0.09%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.13, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Arbitrage Event's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Arbitrage Event is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days The Arbitrage Event Driven has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Arbitrage Event is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date30th of September 2022
Expense Ratio1.7300
  

Arbitrage Event Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,174  in The Arbitrage Event Driven on August 25, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (3.00) from holding The Arbitrage Event Driven or give up 0.26% of portfolio value over 90 days. The Arbitrage Event Driven is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.2217% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Arbitrage, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Arbitrage Event is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 3.44 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Arbitrage Event Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
11.71
Please note that Arbitrage Event's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Arbitrage Event shows a prevailing Real Value of $11.72 per share. The current price of the fund is $11.71. We determine the value of Arbitrage Event from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Since Arbitrage Event is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Arbitrage Mutual Fund. However, Arbitrage Event's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.71 Real  11.72 Hype  11.71 Naive  11.66
The intrinsic value of Arbitrage Event's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Arbitrage Event's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
11.72
Real Value
11.94
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of The Arbitrage Event Driven helps investors to forecast how Arbitrage mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Arbitrage Event more accurately as focusing exclusively on Arbitrage Event's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.7011.7111.72
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.4911.7111.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
11.4411.6611.88
Details

Arbitrage Event Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Arbitrage Event's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as The Arbitrage Event Driven, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Arbitrage Event's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0167

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Negative ReturnsAGEAX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.22
  actual daily
1
99% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.0
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.02
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Arbitrage Event is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Arbitrage Event by adding Arbitrage Event to a well-diversified portfolio.

Arbitrage Event Fundamentals Growth

Arbitrage Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Arbitrage Event, and Arbitrage Event fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Arbitrage Mutual Fund performance.

About Arbitrage Event Performance

Evaluating Arbitrage Event's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Arbitrage Event has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Arbitrage Event has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests in equity and debt and debt-like instruments of companies whose prices the funds investment adviser believes are or will be impacted by a corporate event. Specifically, the fund employs investment strategies designed to capture price movements generated by corporate events such as mergers, acquisitions, asset sales, restructurings, refinancings, recapitalizations, reorganizations or other special situations . It is non-diversified.

Things to note about Arbitrage Event performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Arbitrage Event for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Arbitrage Event help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arbitrage Event generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds about 9.65% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Arbitrage Event's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Arbitrage Event's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Arbitrage Event's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Arbitrage Event's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Arbitrage Event's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Arbitrage Event's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Arbitrage Event's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Arbitrage Event's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Arbitrage Event's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Arbitrage Event's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Arbitrage Event's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Arbitrage Mutual Fund

Arbitrage Event financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arbitrage Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arbitrage with respect to the benefits of owning Arbitrage Event security.
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