Adecoagro Sa Stock Performance

AGRO Stock  USD 8.85  0.04  0.45%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Adecoagro holds a performance score of 8. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.19, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Adecoagro are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Adecoagro is likely to outperform the market. Please check Adecoagro's maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether Adecoagro's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Adecoagro SA are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unsteady basic indicators, Adecoagro displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.45)
Five Day Return
1.61
Year To Date Return
14.05
Ten Year Return
(21.05)
All Time Return
(26.25)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0394
Payout Ratio
0.0338
Forward Dividend Rate
0.35
Dividend Date
2025-11-19
Ex Dividend Date
2025-11-03
 
Adecoagro dividend paid on 19th of November 2025
11/19/2025
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Begin Period Cash Flow339.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-231.6 M

Adecoagro Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  764.00  in Adecoagro SA on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  121.00  from holding Adecoagro SA or generate 15.84% return on investment over 90 days. Adecoagro SA is currently generating 0.2795% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.6386% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 23% of stocks are less volatile than Adecoagro, and 95% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Adecoagro is expected to generate 3.39 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.39 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Adecoagro Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Adecoagro Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.85 90 days 8.85 
about 6.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adecoagro to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.82 (This Adecoagro SA probability density function shows the probability of Adecoagro Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Adecoagro SA has a beta of -0.19. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Adecoagro are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Adecoagro SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Adecoagro SA has an alpha of 0.2, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Adecoagro Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Adecoagro

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adecoagro SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.258.8911.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.068.7011.34
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.3310.2511.38
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.180.180.18
Details

Adecoagro Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adecoagro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adecoagro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adecoagro SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adecoagro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Adecoagro Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adecoagro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adecoagro SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Growth Investors Industry Analysts Just Upgraded Their Adecoagro S.A. Revenue Forecasts By 11

Adecoagro Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adecoagro Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adecoagro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adecoagro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding103.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments211.2 M

Adecoagro Fundamentals Growth

Adecoagro Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Adecoagro, and Adecoagro fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Adecoagro Stock performance.

About Adecoagro Performance

By examining Adecoagro's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Adecoagro's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Adecoagro is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 163.69  114.34 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.06 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Equity 0.06  0.06 

Things to note about Adecoagro SA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Adecoagro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Adecoagro SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Growth Investors Industry Analysts Just Upgraded Their Adecoagro S.A. Revenue Forecasts By 11
Evaluating Adecoagro's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Adecoagro's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Adecoagro's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Adecoagro's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Adecoagro's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Adecoagro's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Adecoagro's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Adecoagro's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Adecoagro's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Adecoagro's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Adecoagro's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Adecoagro SA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Adecoagro's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Adecoagro Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Adecoagro Sa Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Adecoagro SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Will Packaged Foods & Meats sector continue expanding? Could Adecoagro diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Adecoagro. If investors know Adecoagro will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Adecoagro data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.66)
Dividend Share
0.35
Earnings Share
0.23
Revenue Per Share
13.795
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.35)
Understanding Adecoagro SA requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Adecoagro's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Adecoagro's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Adecoagro's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Adecoagro's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Adecoagro represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Adecoagro's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.