Allison Transmission Holdings Stock Performance
| ALSN Stock | USD 126.91 1.61 1.28% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Allison Transmission holds a performance score of 30. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.01, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Allison Transmission returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Allison Transmission is expected to follow. Please check Allison Transmission's downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Allison Transmission's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Strong
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Allison Transmission Holdings are ranked lower than 30 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very uncertain basic indicators, Allison Transmission displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.28 | Five Day Return 3.79 | Year To Date Return 28.27 | Ten Year Return 416.73 | All Time Return 442.35 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0086 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 1.08 | Dividend Date 2026-03-20 | Ex Dividend Date 2025-11-21 |
| Allison Transmission dividend paid on 5th of December 2025 | 12/05/2025 |
2 | Foyston, Gordon Payne Slashes Allison Transmission Holdings by 7.3 Million as Sales Plunge 28 | 12/23/2025 |
3 | Insider Trading | 12/31/2025 |
4 | A Look At Allison Transmission Valuation After New Leadership And Two-Business-Unit Structure | 01/16/2026 |
5 | Allison Transmission Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates Can the Stock Move Higher | 02/03/2026 |
6 | Electric Vehicles Update - Advancements and Innovations in Commercial Vehicle Technology Unveiled | 02/04/2026 |
7 | A Look At Allison Transmission Holdings Valuation As Recent Share Momentum Draws Attention | 02/06/2026 |
8 | Allison Transmission Schedules Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call | 02/09/2026 |
9 | 4 Discounted PEG Value Stocks to Boost Your Portfolios Health | 02/10/2026 |
10 | ALSN or MOD Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now | 02/12/2026 |
11 | Dauch Beats Q4 Earnings Estimates | 02/13/2026 |
12 | Disposition of tradable shares by G Bohley of Allison Transmission subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/19/2026 |
13 | Allison Transmission Earnings Transcript | 02/23/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 781 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -184 M |
Allison Transmission Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 9,052 in Allison Transmission Holdings on December 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 3,639 from holding Allison Transmission Holdings or generate 40.2% return on investment over 90 days. Allison Transmission Holdings is currently generating 0.576% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.522% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 13% of stocks are less volatile than Allison, and 89% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Allison Transmission Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Allison Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 126.91 | 90 days | 126.91 | roughly 2.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Allison Transmission to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.08 (This Allison Transmission Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Allison Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allison Transmission Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Allison Transmission
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allison Transmission. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Allison Transmission's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Allison Transmission Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Allison Transmission is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Allison Transmission's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Allison Transmission Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Allison Transmission within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.35 |
Allison Transmission Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Allison Transmission for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Allison Transmission can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from fool.com: Allison Transmission Earnings Transcript |
Allison Transmission Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Allison Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Allison Transmission's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Allison Transmission's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Allison Transmission Fundamentals Growth
Allison Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Allison Transmission, and Allison Transmission fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Allison Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.35 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.1 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.21 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.27 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 11.77 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 82.81 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 18.00 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 5.56 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.46 X | ||||
| Revenue | 3.01 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.46 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 1.03 B | ||||
| Net Income | 623 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 180 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.89 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 2.92 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 3.29 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.72 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 6.23 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 824 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 7.33 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 10.43 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 6.08 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (38 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 1.77 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 616.8 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 304.6 M | ||||
About Allison Transmission Performance
By examining Allison Transmission's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Allison Transmission's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Allison Transmission is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 74.22 | 44.08 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.19 | 0.22 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.17 | 0.12 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.10 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.33 | 0.35 |
Things to note about Allison Transmission performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Allison Transmission for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Allison Transmission help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from fool.com: Allison Transmission Earnings Transcript |
- Analyzing Allison Transmission's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Allison Transmission's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Allison Transmission's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Allison Transmission's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Allison Transmission's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Allison Transmission's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Allison Transmission's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Allison Transmission Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Will Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Allison diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Allison Transmission. If investors know Allison will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Allison Transmission data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.17 | Dividend Share 1.08 | Earnings Share 7.33 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.204 |
Investors evaluate Allison Transmission using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Allison Transmission's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Allison Transmission's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Allison Transmission's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Allison Transmission represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Allison Transmission's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.