Applovin Corp Stock Performance

APP Stock  USD 546.01  23.23  4.08%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.44, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Applovin Corp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Applovin Corp is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Applovin Corp has a negative expected return of -0.18%. Please make sure to confirm Applovin Corp's variance, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and day typical price , to decide if Applovin Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Applovin Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with latest fragile performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain invariable and the latest agitation on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-running gains for the enterprise retail investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
4.96
Five Day Return
9.15
Year To Date Return
(7.94)
Ten Year Return
773.07
All Time Return
773.07
1
3 Growth Stocks to Buy in January That Could Issue Stock Splits in 2026
12/29/2025
2
Louisiana State Employees Retirement System Grows Stake in AppLovin Corporation APP
01/07/2026
3
BookingCentral Launches New Mobile App for Rental Operators
01/13/2026
4
Disposition of 728 shares by Vasily Shikin of Applovin Corp at 536.97 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/16/2026
5
AppLovin shares slide as short-seller alleges global money laundering ties
01/20/2026
6
Why AppLovin Stock Is Nosediving
01/21/2026
7
Flipit Reveals the Back of the Internet, a New Layer for Trust and Transparency
01/22/2026
8
A Look At AppLovin Valuation After Money Laundering Allegations And Sharp Share Price Declines
01/23/2026
9
AppLovin rejects CapitalWatch money-laundering claims
01/26/2026
10
Disposition of 0 shares by Vasily Shikin of Applovin Corp at 528.12 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/27/2026
11
Jim Cramer Explains Why He Is Avoiding AppLovin Despite the Companys Strong Momentum
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow502.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-106.8 M

Applovin Corp Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  63,214  in Applovin Corp on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (8,614) from holding Applovin Corp or give up 13.63% of portfolio value over 90 days. Applovin Corp is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.5943% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 32% of stocks are less volatile than Applovin, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Applovin Corp is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.78 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Applovin Corp Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Applovin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 546.01 90 days 546.01 
about 89.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Applovin Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.53 (This Applovin Corp probability density function shows the probability of Applovin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Applovin Corp has a beta of 0.44. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Applovin Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Applovin Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Applovin Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Applovin Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Applovin Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Applovin Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
538.38541.97600.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
491.41616.43620.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
568.24571.84575.43
Details
26 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
674.38741.08822.60
Details

Applovin Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Applovin Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Applovin Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Applovin Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Applovin Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.44
σ
Overall volatility
62.29
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Applovin Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Applovin Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Applovin Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Applovin Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Applovin Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Applovin Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Applovin Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Jim Cramer Explains Why He Is Avoiding AppLovin Despite the Companys Strong Momentum

Applovin Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Applovin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Applovin Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Applovin Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding347.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments741.4 M

Applovin Corp Fundamentals Growth

Applovin Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Applovin Corp, and Applovin Corp fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Applovin Stock performance.

About Applovin Corp Performance

Assessing Applovin Corp's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Applovin Corp's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Applovin Corp is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.45  0.47 
Return On Capital Employed 0.45  0.47 
Return On Assets 0.24  0.25 
Return On Equity 1.30  1.37 

Things to note about Applovin Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Applovin Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Applovin Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Applovin Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Applovin Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Applovin Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Applovin Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Jim Cramer Explains Why He Is Avoiding AppLovin Despite the Companys Strong Momentum
Evaluating Applovin Corp's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Applovin Corp's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Applovin Corp's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Applovin Corp's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Applovin Corp's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Applovin Corp's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Applovin Corp's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Applovin Corp's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Applovin Corp's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Applovin Corp's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Applovin Corp's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Applovin Stock Analysis

When running Applovin Corp's price analysis, check to measure Applovin Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applovin Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Applovin Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applovin Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applovin Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applovin Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.