Appfolio Stock Performance

APPF Stock  USD 195.06  5.18  2.73%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.27, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Appfolio will likely underperform. At this point, Appfolio has a negative expected return of -0.45%. Please make sure to confirm Appfolio's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and day typical price , to decide if Appfolio performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Appfolio has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.73
Five Day Return
(9.24)
Year To Date Return
(15.33)
Ten Year Return
1.4 K
All Time Return
1.3 K
1
Disposition of 300 shares by Kerr Janet of Appfolio subject to Rule 16b-3
11/07/2025
2
Disposition of tradable shares by Pickering Evan of Appfolio at 256.96 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/10/2025
3
Disposition of 149 shares by William Trigg of Appfolio at 247.35 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/17/2025
4
AppFolio Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
11/28/2025
5
Disposition of 545 shares by Kerr Janet of Appfolio subject to Rule 16b-3
12/05/2025
6
Voya Investment Management LLC Has 656,000 Stake in AppFolio, Inc. APPF - MarketBeat
01/02/2026
7
AppFolio Rises Higher Than Market Key Facts
01/22/2026
8
Acquisition by Evan Pickering of 2410 shares of Appfolio subject to Rule 16b-3
01/27/2026
9
AppFolio, Inc. Announces Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results
01/29/2026
10
A Look At AppFolio Valuation After Earnings Show Revenue Growth But Lower Net Income
01/30/2026
11
Down 17.6 percent in 4 Weeks, Heres Why You Should You Buy the Dip in AppFolio
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow42.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities10.2 M

Appfolio Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  26,062  in Appfolio on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (6,556) from holding Appfolio or give up 25.16% of portfolio value over 90 days. Appfolio is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.129% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Appfolio, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Appfolio is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.82 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.21 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Appfolio Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Appfolio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 195.06 90 days 195.06 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Appfolio to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Appfolio probability density function shows the probability of Appfolio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.27 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Appfolio will likely underperform. Additionally Appfolio has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Appfolio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Appfolio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Appfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
192.93195.06197.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
144.17146.30214.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
195.67197.80199.93
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
246.46270.83300.62
Details

Appfolio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Appfolio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Appfolio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Appfolio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Appfolio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.27
σ
Overall volatility
13.81
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Appfolio Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Appfolio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Appfolio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Appfolio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Appfolio is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Down 17.6 percent in 4 Weeks, Heres Why You Should You Buy the Dip in AppFolio

Appfolio Fundamentals Growth

Appfolio Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Appfolio, and Appfolio fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Appfolio Stock performance.

About Appfolio Performance

By analyzing Appfolio's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Appfolio's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Appfolio has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Appfolio has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.39  0.41 
Return On Capital Employed 0.22  0.23 
Return On Assets 0.29  0.31 
Return On Equity 0.35  0.37 

Things to note about Appfolio performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Appfolio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Appfolio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Appfolio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Appfolio is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Down 17.6 percent in 4 Weeks, Heres Why You Should You Buy the Dip in AppFolio
Evaluating Appfolio's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Appfolio's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Appfolio's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Appfolio's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Appfolio's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Appfolio's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Appfolio's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Appfolio's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Appfolio's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Appfolio's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Appfolio's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Appfolio Stock analysis

When running Appfolio's price analysis, check to measure Appfolio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Appfolio is operating at the current time. Most of Appfolio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Appfolio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Appfolio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Appfolio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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