Appfolio Stock Performance
| APPF Stock | USD 189.88 17.22 8.31% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.22, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Appfolio will likely underperform. At this point, Appfolio has a negative expected return of -0.5%. Please make sure to confirm Appfolio's accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the value at risk and day typical price , to decide if Appfolio performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Appfolio has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (8.31) | Five Day Return (13.58) | Year To Date Return (17.58) | Ten Year Return 1.3 K | All Time Return 1.2 K |
1 | Disposition of 300 shares by Kerr Janet of Appfolio subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/07/2025 |
2 | Disposition of tradable shares by Pickering Evan of Appfolio at 256.96 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/10/2025 |
3 | Disposition of 149 shares by William Trigg of Appfolio at 247.35 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/17/2025 |
4 | AppFolio negative stock price reaction unjustified, says DA Davidson APPF | 11/19/2025 |
5 | Disposition of 545 shares by Kerr Janet of Appfolio subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/05/2025 |
6 | AppFolio Outpaces Stock Market Gains What You Should Know | 12/22/2025 |
7 | Insiders Funds Investment Thesis for AppFolio | 01/05/2026 |
8 | Why AppFolio Dipped More Than Broader Market Today | 01/07/2026 |
9 | Is AppFolios Board Refresh With Saori Casey Reframing Its AI Capital Allocation Strategy | 01/16/2026 |
10 | KeyBanc reiterates Overweight rating on AppFolio stock at 270 target - Investing.com | 01/22/2026 |
11 | Acquisition by Evan Pickering of 2410 shares of Appfolio subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/27/2026 |
12 | AppFolio Q4 2025 Earnings Preview | 01/28/2026 |
13 | AppFolio falls as 2026 guidance misses expectations analysts slash price targets | 01/30/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 42.8 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 10.2 M |
Appfolio Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 26,226 in Appfolio on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (7,238) from holding Appfolio or give up 27.6% of portfolio value over 90 days. Appfolio is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.0723% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Appfolio, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Appfolio Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Appfolio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 189.88 | 90 days | 189.88 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Appfolio to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Appfolio probability density function shows the probability of Appfolio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.22 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Appfolio will likely underperform. Additionally Appfolio has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Appfolio Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Appfolio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Appfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Appfolio Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Appfolio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Appfolio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Appfolio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Appfolio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Appfolio Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Appfolio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Appfolio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Appfolio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Appfolio is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: AppFolio falls as 2026 guidance misses expectations analysts slash price targets |
Appfolio Fundamentals Growth
Appfolio Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Appfolio, and Appfolio fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Appfolio Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.45 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.14 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.22 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 7.27 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 23.07 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 26.83 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 14.89 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 7.52 X | ||||
| Revenue | 906.29 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 575.3 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 183.76 M | ||||
| Net Income | 140.92 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 139.25 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.96 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 41.75 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.21 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.06 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 13.89 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 242.1 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 5.56 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 6.82 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 626.68 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 290.05 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 272.12 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 27.51 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 16.91 M | ||||
About Appfolio Performance
By analyzing Appfolio's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Appfolio's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Appfolio has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Appfolio has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.39 | 0.41 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.22 | 0.23 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.29 | 0.31 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.35 | 0.37 |
Things to note about Appfolio performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Appfolio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Appfolio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Appfolio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Appfolio is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: AppFolio falls as 2026 guidance misses expectations analysts slash price targets |
- Analyzing Appfolio's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Appfolio's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Appfolio's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Appfolio's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Appfolio's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Appfolio's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Appfolio's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Appfolio Stock analysis
When running Appfolio's price analysis, check to measure Appfolio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Appfolio is operating at the current time. Most of Appfolio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Appfolio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Appfolio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Appfolio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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