Aqua Metals Stock Performance
| AQMS Stock | USD 4.63 0.09 1.91% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.26, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Aqua Metals will likely underperform. At this point, Aqua Metals has a negative expected return of -0.58%. Please make sure to confirm Aqua Metals' total risk alpha, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Aqua Metals performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Aqua Metals has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of abnormal performance in the last few months, the Stock's primary indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (1.91) | Five Day Return 7.18 | Year To Date Return (13.13) | Ten Year Return (99.53) | All Time Return (99.57) |
Last Split Factor 1:10 | Last Split Date 2025-08-04 |
1 | Will Aqua Metals Inc. stock keep high P E multiples - Earnings Trend Report Precise Trade Entry Recommendations - newser.com | 11/18/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 720 shares by Eric West of Aqua Metals at 9.8 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/20/2025 |
3 | Aqua Metals Stock Passes Below 50-Day Moving Average Heres Why | 11/25/2025 |
4 | Aqua Metals Files New Registration for Stock Sales - MSN | 12/10/2025 |
5 | Aqua Metals Statement of Changes in Beneficial Ownership - marketscreener.com | 12/22/2025 |
6 | Disposition of 979 shares by Benjamin Taecker of Aqua Metals at 4.8 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/02/2026 |
7 | Disposition of 4530 shares by Stephen Cotton of Aqua Metals subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/07/2026 |
8 | Disposition of 2100 shares by Stephen Cotton of Aqua Metals subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/09/2026 |
9 | Aqua Metals and 6K Energy Execute Multi-Year Supply Agreement to Support Domestic Battery Materials Commercialization | 01/21/2026 |
10 | Aqua Metals and American Battery Factory Announce Proposed Strategic Collaboration to Advance Domestic Circular Supply of Battery Materials | 02/03/2026 |
11 | Acquisition by Stephen Cotton of 11250 shares of Aqua Metals subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/09/2026 |
12 | Acquisition by Benjamin Taecker of 23306 shares of Aqua Metals at 4.72 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/13/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 16.5 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -11.6 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | -25.8 M |
Aqua Metals Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 720.00 in Aqua Metals on November 19, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (257.00) from holding Aqua Metals or give up 35.69% of portfolio value over 90 days. Aqua Metals is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.3507% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 48% of stocks are less volatile than Aqua, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Aqua Metals Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Aqua Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.63 | 90 days | 4.63 | about 89.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aqua Metals to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.39 (This Aqua Metals probability density function shows the probability of Aqua Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Aqua Metals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aqua Metals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aqua Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aqua Metals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aqua Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aqua Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aqua Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aqua Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Aqua Metals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aqua Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aqua Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aqua Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aqua Metals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Aqua Metals has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (24.55 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.09 M). | |
| Aqua Metals currently holds about 6.42 M in cash with (13.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08. | |
| Aqua Metals has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Benjamin Taecker of 23306 shares of Aqua Metals at 4.72 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Aqua Metals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aqua Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aqua Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aqua Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 642 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.1 M |
Aqua Metals Fundamentals Growth
Aqua Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Aqua Metals, and Aqua Metals fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Aqua Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -1.87 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.44 | ||||
| Current Valuation | 11.01 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 2.98 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | (3.23) X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.13 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 865.53 X | ||||
| Gross Profit | (3.09 M) | ||||
| EBITDA | (22.7 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (24.55 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 6.42 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.08 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 4.27 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.03 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 6.86 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 3.53 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (13.63 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (28.22) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 14.07 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 26.36 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (247.77 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | (3.54 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 31.95 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 3.32 M | ||||
About Aqua Metals Performance
Assessing Aqua Metals' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Aqua Metals' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Aqua Metals is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 14.61 | 13.88 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (1.08) | (1.13) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (1.18) | (1.24) | |
| Return On Assets | (1.07) | (1.12) | |
| Return On Equity | (1.74) | (1.65) |
Things to note about Aqua Metals performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aqua Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Aqua Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aqua Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aqua Metals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Aqua Metals has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (24.55 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.09 M). | |
| Aqua Metals currently holds about 6.42 M in cash with (13.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08. | |
| Aqua Metals has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Benjamin Taecker of 23306 shares of Aqua Metals at 4.72 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
- Analyzing Aqua Metals' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Aqua Metals' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Aqua Metals' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Aqua Metals' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Aqua Metals' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Aqua Metals' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Aqua Metals' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Aqua Stock Analysis
When running Aqua Metals' price analysis, check to measure Aqua Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aqua Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Aqua Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aqua Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aqua Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aqua Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.