Aqua Metals Stock Price Prediction
| AQMS Stock | USD 2.66 0.50 23.15% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.40) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.90) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.60) | Wall Street Target Price 30 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.80) |
Using Aqua Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aqua Metals from the perspective of Aqua Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aqua Metals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aqua because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aqua Metals after-hype prediction price | USD 2.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aqua |
Aqua Metals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aqua Metals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aqua Metals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aqua Metals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aqua Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aqua Metals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aqua Metals' historical news coverage. Aqua Metals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 8.60, respectively. We have considered Aqua Metals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aqua Metals is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aqua Metals is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aqua Metals Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aqua Metals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aqua Metals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aqua Metals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.02 | 6.42 | 0.02 | 0.49 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.66 | 2.18 | 0.93 |
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Aqua Metals Hype Timeline
Aqua Metals is presently traded for 2.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.49. Aqua is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.18 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.93%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -1.02%. The volatility of related hype on Aqua Metals is about 1331.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.17. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 25 K. Net Loss for the year was (23.94 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.96 M). Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Aqua Metals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aqua Metals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aqua Metals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aqua Metals' future price movements. Getting to know how Aqua Metals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aqua Metals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LNZA | LanzaTech Global | 0.19 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 10.40 | (8.72) | 28.44 | |
| WM | Waste Management | 1.00 | 8 per month | 0.88 | (0.02) | 1.67 | (1.75) | 7.17 | |
| CLH | Clean Harbors | 0.26 | 11 per month | 2.38 | (0.03) | 2.02 | (1.99) | 13.89 | |
| HSC | Enviri | (0.25) | 8 per month | 2.48 | 0.1 | 6.26 | (3.78) | 24.00 | |
| CWST | Casella Waste Systems | (0.67) | 11 per month | 1.56 | (0.01) | 2.09 | (2.60) | 7.60 | |
| SRCL | Stericycle | (0.50) | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 2.30 | (0.67) | 30.56 | |
| MEG | Montrose Environmental Grp | (3.06) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 6.31 | (7.73) | 27.87 | |
| HCCI | Heritage Crystal Clean | 0.14 | 3 per month | 1.51 | 0.14 | 5.13 | (3.24) | 11.13 | |
| WCN | Waste Connections | (1.82) | 12 per month | 0.88 | (0.09) | 1.37 | (1.55) | 4.00 | |
| GFL | Gfl Environmental Holdings | (0.11) | 10 per month | 1.38 | 0.01 | 2.97 | (2.29) | 7.37 |
Aqua Metals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aqua price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aqua using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aqua charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aqua Metals Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aqua Metals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aqua Metals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aqua Metals based on analysis of Aqua Metals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aqua Metals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aqua Metals's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 10.24 | 3.68 | 3.42 | 3.92 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 6.4 | 25.63 | 53.98 | 56.68 |
Story Coverage note for Aqua Metals
The number of cover stories for Aqua Metals depends on current market conditions and Aqua Metals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aqua Metals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aqua Metals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aqua Metals Short Properties
Aqua Metals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Aqua Metals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aqua Metals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aqua Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aqua Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.5 M |
Additional Tools for Aqua Stock Analysis
When running Aqua Metals' price analysis, check to measure Aqua Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aqua Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Aqua Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aqua Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aqua Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aqua Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.