Ares Capital Stock Performance

ARCC Stock  USD 19.93  0.45  2.31%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.8, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ares Capital's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ares Capital is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Ares Capital has a negative expected return of -0.0289%. Please make sure to confirm Ares Capital's coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, skewness, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and value at risk , to decide if Ares Capital performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Ares Capital has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound fundamental indicators, Ares Capital is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.88
Five Day Return
(0.10)
Year To Date Return
(4.70)
Ten Year Return
49.96
All Time Return
29.69
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0994
Payout Ratio
0.96
Forward Dividend Rate
1.92
Dividend Date
2025-12-30
Ex Dividend Date
2026-03-13
1
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Ares Capital dividend paid on 30th of December 2025
12/30/2025
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02/02/2026
8
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02/04/2026
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02/09/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow860 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.9 B

Ares Capital Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,991  in Ares Capital on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (43.00) from holding Ares Capital or give up 2.16% of portfolio value over 90 days. Ares Capital is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.2309% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 11% of stocks are less volatile than Ares, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ares Capital is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.52 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Ares Capital Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ares Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 19.93 90 days 19.93 
about 62.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ares Capital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 62.08 (This Ares Capital probability density function shows the probability of Ares Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ares Capital has a beta of 0.8. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ares Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ares Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ares Capital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ares Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ares Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ares Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ares Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.2519.4820.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.5320.9822.21
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.2622.2724.72
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.460.480.49
Details

Ares Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ares Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ares Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ares Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ares Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.80
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Ares Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ares Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ares Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ares Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ares Capital currently holds 15.99 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.27, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Ares Capital has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ares Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
On 30th of December 2025 Ares Capital paid $ 0.48 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Ares Capital Corporation is Attracting Investor Attention Here is What You Should Know

Ares Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ares Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ares Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ares Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding699 M
Cash And Short Term Investments638 M

Ares Capital Fundamentals Growth

Ares Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ares Capital, and Ares Capital fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ares Stock performance.

About Ares Capital Performance

By analyzing Ares Capital's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Ares Capital's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Ares Capital has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ares Capital has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.06 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.07 

Things to note about Ares Capital performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ares Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ares Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ares Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ares Capital currently holds 15.99 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.27, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Ares Capital has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ares Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
On 30th of December 2025 Ares Capital paid $ 0.48 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Ares Capital Corporation is Attracting Investor Attention Here is What You Should Know
Evaluating Ares Capital's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ares Capital's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ares Capital's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ares Capital's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ares Capital's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ares Capital's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ares Capital's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ares Capital's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ares Capital's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ares Capital's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ares Capital's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Ares Stock analysis

When running Ares Capital's price analysis, check to measure Ares Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ares Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Ares Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ares Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ares Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ares Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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