Arm Holdings Plc Stock Performance

ARM Stock   123.70  12.82  11.56%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.39, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Arm Holdings will likely underperform. At this point, Arm Holdings plc has a negative expected return of -0.32%. Please make sure to confirm Arm Holdings' value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Arm Holdings plc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Arm Holdings plc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
11.56
Five Day Return
18.28
Year To Date Return
7.82
Ten Year Return
103.62
All Time Return
103.62
1
Arm Launches Physical AI Division To Target Robotics As Humanoid Robots Take Center Stage At CES
01/08/2026
2
Arm Upgrade Highlights AI and Server CPU Expansion Potential
01/27/2026
3
Jim Cramer on Arm Holdings I Think You Do Buy the Stock
01/28/2026
4
PIC32CM PL10 MCUs Expand Microchips Arm Cortex-M0 Portfolio
01/29/2026
5
Susquehanna Sees Over 1B Annual Royalties From Arms AI XPU
01/30/2026
6
Arm Holdings Is Down 6.8 percent After Record AI Deals With Meta, Apple, AWS, Google
02/03/2026
7
Arm Holdings Q3 2026 Earnings Transcript
02/04/2026
8
Why Arm Holdings Stock Was Climbing Today
02/05/2026
9
Why Arm Holdings Stock Was Moving Higher Again Today
02/06/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.9 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-35 M

Arm Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  15,484  in Arm Holdings plc on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (3,114) from holding Arm Holdings plc or give up 20.11% of portfolio value over 90 days. Arm Holdings plc is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.8743% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 25% of stocks are less volatile than Arm, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Arm Holdings is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.54 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Arm Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Arm Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 123.70 90 days 123.70 
about 53.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arm Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 53.98 (This Arm Holdings plc probability density function shows the probability of Arm Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.39 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Arm Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Arm Holdings plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Arm Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Arm Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arm Holdings plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
120.23123.13126.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
111.33136.77139.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
110.13113.03115.93
Details
40 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
134.92148.27164.58
Details

Arm Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arm Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arm Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arm Holdings plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arm Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.39
σ
Overall volatility
16.93
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Arm Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arm Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arm Holdings plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arm Holdings plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Arm Holdings plc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why Arm Holdings Stock Was Moving Higher Again Today

Arm Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arm Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arm Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arm Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments2.8 B

Arm Holdings Fundamentals Growth

Arm Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Arm Holdings, and Arm Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Arm Stock performance.

About Arm Holdings Performance

By examining Arm Holdings' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Arm Holdings' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Arm Holdings is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.13  0.10 
Return On Capital Employed 0.12  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.10  0.08 
Return On Equity 0.13  0.12 

Things to note about Arm Holdings plc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Arm Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Arm Holdings plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arm Holdings plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Arm Holdings plc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why Arm Holdings Stock Was Moving Higher Again Today
Evaluating Arm Holdings' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Arm Holdings' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Arm Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Arm Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Arm Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Arm Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Arm Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Arm Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Arm Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Arm Holdings' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Arm Holdings' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Arm Holdings plc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Arm Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Arm Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Arm Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Arm Holdings plc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
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Will Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Arm diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arm Holdings. If investors know Arm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Arm Holdings data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
Earnings Share
0.75
Revenue Per Share
4.414
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.263
Return On Assets
0.0588
Understanding Arm Holdings plc requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Arm's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Arm Holdings' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Arm Holdings' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Arm Holdings' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Arm Holdings represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Arm Holdings' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.