Ategrity Specialty Insurance Stock Performance

ASIC Stock  USD 22.12  0.56  2.47%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Ategrity Specialty holds a performance score of 7. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.54, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ategrity Specialty's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ategrity Specialty is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Ategrity Specialty's treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Ategrity Specialty's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ategrity Specialty Insurance are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather inconsistent forward indicators, Ategrity Specialty exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(2.47)
Five Day Return
0.55
Year To Date Return
9.72
Ten Year Return
(10.37)
All Time Return
(10.37)
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Ategrity Specialty Holdings LLC Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
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Begin Period Cash Flow264.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-363.3 M
Free Cash Flow125.6 M

Ategrity Specialty Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,862  in Ategrity Specialty Insurance on December 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  350.00  from holding Ategrity Specialty Insurance or generate 18.8% return on investment over 90 days. Ategrity Specialty Insurance is currently generating 0.3481% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.9292% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 35% of stocks are less volatile than Ategrity, and 93% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ategrity Specialty is expected to generate 5.22 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.22 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Ategrity Specialty Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ategrity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 22.12 90 days 22.12 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ategrity Specialty to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Ategrity Specialty Insurance probability density function shows the probability of Ategrity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ategrity Specialty has a beta of 0.54. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ategrity Specialty average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ategrity Specialty Insurance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ategrity Specialty Insurance has an alpha of 0.3152, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ategrity Specialty Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ategrity Specialty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ategrity Specialty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.3022.2326.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.3821.3125.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.8123.7427.66
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.450.460.48
Details

Ategrity Specialty Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ategrity Specialty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ategrity Specialty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ategrity Specialty Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ategrity Specialty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.54
σ
Overall volatility
1.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Ategrity Specialty Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ategrity Specialty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ategrity Specialty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ategrity Specialty had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Ategrity Specialty Insurance currently holds 859.45 M in liabilities. Ategrity Specialty has a current ratio of 0.08, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ategrity Specialty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
About 81.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Ategrity Specialty Holdings LLC Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Ategrity Specialty Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ategrity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ategrity Specialty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ategrity Specialty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46.2 M
Dividends Paid414 K
Cash And Short Term Investments588.1 M

Ategrity Specialty Fundamentals Growth

Ategrity Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ategrity Specialty, and Ategrity Specialty fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ategrity Stock performance.

About Ategrity Specialty Performance

By analyzing Ategrity Specialty's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Ategrity Specialty's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Ategrity Specialty has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Ategrity Specialty has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.12  0.07 

Things to note about Ategrity Specialty performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ategrity Specialty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ategrity Specialty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ategrity Specialty had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Ategrity Specialty Insurance currently holds 859.45 M in liabilities. Ategrity Specialty has a current ratio of 0.08, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Ategrity Specialty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
About 81.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Ategrity Specialty Holdings LLC Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Evaluating Ategrity Specialty's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ategrity Specialty's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ategrity Specialty's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ategrity Specialty's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ategrity Specialty's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ategrity Specialty's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ategrity Specialty's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ategrity Specialty's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ategrity Specialty's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ategrity Specialty's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ategrity Specialty's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Ategrity Stock analysis

When running Ategrity Specialty's price analysis, check to measure Ategrity Specialty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ategrity Specialty is operating at the current time. Most of Ategrity Specialty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ategrity Specialty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ategrity Specialty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ategrity Specialty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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