Aspen Aerogels Stock Performance
| ASPN Stock | USD 3.38 0.03 0.90% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.82, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Aspen Aerogels will likely underperform. At this point, Aspen Aerogels has a negative expected return of -0.27%. Please make sure to confirm Aspen Aerogels' potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Aspen Aerogels performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Aspen Aerogels has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 3.08 | Five Day Return (4.56) | Year To Date Return 15.92 | Ten Year Return (29.03) | All Time Return (68.84) |
1 | Insider Trading | 11/24/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 936 shares by Ricardo Rodriguez of Aspen Aerogels at 7.84 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/05/2026 |
3 | Pyrogel Insulation Market Projected to Reach US 803.89 Million by 2035, Supported by Capacity Expansion in High-Temperature Applications Says Astute Analytica | 01/22/2026 |
4 | Disposition of 25300 shares by Ricardo Rodriguez of Aspen Aerogels at 6.81 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/30/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 140 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -86.3 M |
Aspen Aerogels Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 411.00 in Aspen Aerogels on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (76.00) from holding Aspen Aerogels or give up 18.49% of portfolio value over 90 days. Aspen Aerogels is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.7385% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 33% of stocks are less volatile than Aspen, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Aspen Aerogels Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Aspen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 3.38 | 90 days | 3.38 | about 59.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aspen Aerogels to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 59.5 (This Aspen Aerogels probability density function shows the probability of Aspen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Aspen Aerogels Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aspen Aerogels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aspen Aerogels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aspen Aerogels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aspen Aerogels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aspen Aerogels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aspen Aerogels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aspen Aerogels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Aspen Aerogels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aspen Aerogels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aspen Aerogels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aspen Aerogels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aspen Aerogels has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading |
Aspen Aerogels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aspen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aspen Aerogels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aspen Aerogels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 80.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 220.9 M |
Aspen Aerogels Fundamentals Growth
Aspen Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Aspen Aerogels, and Aspen Aerogels fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Aspen Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.75 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0113 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.87) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.02) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 297.79 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 82.65 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | (4.28) X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.98 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.76 X | ||||
| Revenue | 452.7 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 116.06 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 51.46 M | ||||
| Net Income | 13.38 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 102.4 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 2.59 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 197.38 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.68 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.93 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 3.70 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 45.55 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (3.71) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 268.6 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 895.14 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (660.23 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 299.34 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 61.65 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 17.41 M | ||||
About Aspen Aerogels Performance
By examining Aspen Aerogels' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Aspen Aerogels' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Aspen Aerogels is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 57.90 | 30.84 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.06 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.02 | 0.02 |
Things to note about Aspen Aerogels performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aspen Aerogels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Aspen Aerogels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aspen Aerogels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aspen Aerogels has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading |
- Analyzing Aspen Aerogels' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Aspen Aerogels' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Aspen Aerogels' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Aspen Aerogels' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Aspen Aerogels' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Aspen Aerogels' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Aspen Aerogels' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Aspen Aerogels. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. To learn how to invest in Aspen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aspen Aerogels guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Will Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector continue expanding? Could Aspen diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aspen Aerogels. If investors know Aspen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Aspen Aerogels data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (3.71) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.38) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Aspen Aerogels is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aspen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aspen Aerogels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aspen Aerogels' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Aspen Aerogels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aspen Aerogels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Aspen Aerogels' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Aspen Aerogels represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Aspen Aerogels' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.