Aspen Aerogels Valuation

ASPN Stock  USD 15.05  0.74  5.17%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Aspen Aerogels shows a prevailing Real Value of $17.37 per share. The current price of the firm is $15.05. Our model approximates the value of Aspen Aerogels from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 1.26 B, profit margin of 0 %, and Return On Equity of 0.0033 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Aspen Aerogels' valuation include:
Price Book
2.3128
Enterprise Value
1.3 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
34.7591
Price Sales
2.8371
Forward PE
33.3333
Undervalued
Today
15.05
Please note that Aspen Aerogels' price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Aspen Aerogels is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Aspen Aerogels' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Aspen Aerogels is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Aspen Stock. However, Aspen Aerogels' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  15.05 Real  17.37 Target  21.0 Hype  14.21 Naive  12.03
The intrinsic value of Aspen Aerogels' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Aspen Aerogels' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
17.37
Real Value
22.16
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Aspen Aerogels helps investors to forecast how Aspen stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Aspen Aerogels more accurately as focusing exclusively on Aspen Aerogels' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.070.10.12
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.4214.2119.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.2412.0316.82
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
19.1121.0023.31
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Aspen Aerogels' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Aspen Aerogels' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Aspen Aerogels' closest peers.

Aspen Aerogels Cash

146.71 Million

Aspen Valuation Trend

Knowing Aspen Aerogels' actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Aspen Aerogels' enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Aspen Revenue by Product

Aspen Aerogels Total Value Analysis

Aspen Aerogels is presently projected to have valuation of 1.26 B with market capitalization of 1.17 B, debt of 138.77 M, and cash on hands of 102.4 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Aspen Aerogels fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
1.26 B
1.17 B
138.77 M
102.4 M

Aspen Aerogels Investor Information

About 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Aspen Aerogels was presently reported as 6.58. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators related to Aspen Aerogels' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Aspen Aerogels is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in December.

Aspen Aerogels Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Aspen Aerogels has an asset utilization ratio of 33.95 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.34 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Aspen Aerogels is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
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Covid

Aspen Aerogels Ownership Allocation

Aspen Aerogels holds a total of 82.05 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Aspen Aerogels outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Aspen Aerogels to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Aspen Aerogels. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Aspen Aerogels as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Aspen Aerogels Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 238.72 M. Net Loss for the year was (45.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.98 M.

About Aspen Aerogels Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aspen Aerogels. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Aspen Aerogels based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Aspen Aerogels's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Aspen Aerogels's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Aspen Aerogels. We calculate exposure to Aspen Aerogels's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Aspen Aerogels's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit56.9 M59.8 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.19)(0.20)
Operating Profit Margin(0.21)(0.22)
Net Loss(0.19)(0.20)
Gross Profit Margin 0.24  0.25 

Aspen Aerogels Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding69.4 M
Forward Price Earnings33.3333

Aspen Aerogels Current Valuation Indicators

Aspen Aerogels' valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Aspen Aerogels' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Aspen Aerogels, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Aspen Aerogels' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Aspen Aerogels' worth.
When determining whether Aspen Aerogels offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Aspen Aerogels' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Aspen Aerogels Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Aspen Aerogels Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Aspen Aerogels. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
To learn how to invest in Aspen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aspen Aerogels guide.
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Is Oil & Gas Equipment & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aspen Aerogels. If investors know Aspen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aspen Aerogels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.02
Revenue Per Share
5.532
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.931
Return On Assets
0.0433
Return On Equity
0.0033
The market value of Aspen Aerogels is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aspen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aspen Aerogels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aspen Aerogels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aspen Aerogels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aspen Aerogels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aspen Aerogels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aspen Aerogels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aspen Aerogels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.