Algoma Steel Group Stock Performance
| ASTL Stock | USD 4.58 0.02 0.44% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Algoma Steel holds a performance score of 4. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0194, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Algoma Steel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Algoma Steel is likely to outperform the market. Please check Algoma Steel's jensen alpha, skewness, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Algoma Steel's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Soft
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Algoma Steel Group are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite inconsistent basic indicators, Algoma Steel disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (2.84) | Five Day Return 1.6 | Year To Date Return 13.52 | Ten Year Return (54.17) | All Time Return (54.17) |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0342 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 0.2 | Dividend Date 2025-05-30 | Ex Dividend Date 2025-05-13 |
1 | Eisler Capital Management Ltd. Invests 344,000 in Algoma Steel Group Inc. ASTL | 11/25/2025 |
2 | Algoma Steel stock plunges after report of 40 percent layoff | 12/01/2025 |
3 | Intact Investment Management Inc. Buys 543,245 Shares of Algoma Steel Group Inc. ASTL | 12/10/2025 |
4 | Will Algoma Steel Group Inc. stock remain a Wall Street favorite - July 2025 Analyst Calls Technical Pattern Based Buy Signals - DonanmHaber | 12/19/2025 |
5 | Algoma Steel Group Given a C6.00 Price Target at Jefferies Financial Group - MarketBeat | 01/05/2026 |
6 | Algoma Steel Sees Q4 Loss on Tariffs and Blast Furnace Wind-Down | 01/12/2026 |
7 | Here Is Why Bargain Hunters Would Love Fast-paced Mover Legato Merger | 01/15/2026 |
8 | Retail Surge Is Algoma Steel Group Inc Equity Warrants growth already priced in - 2025 Big Picture Fast Moving Stock Watchlists - baoquankhu1.vn | 01/20/2026 |
9 | Algoma Steel and Hanwha Ocean Sign Binding Memorandum of Understanding for Long-term Strategic Arrangement supporting Canadian Patrol Submarine Project | 01/26/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 247.4 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -362.9 M |
Algoma Steel Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 421.00 in Algoma Steel Group on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 37.00 from holding Algoma Steel Group or generate 8.79% return on investment over 90 days. Algoma Steel Group is currently generating 0.2195% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.0137% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 36% of stocks are less volatile than Algoma, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Algoma Steel Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Algoma Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.58 | 90 days | 4.58 | about 8.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Algoma Steel to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.17 (This Algoma Steel Group probability density function shows the probability of Algoma Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Algoma Steel Group has a beta of -0.0194. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Algoma Steel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Algoma Steel Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Algoma Steel Group has an alpha of 0.0531, implying that it can generate a 0.0531 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Algoma Steel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Algoma Steel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Algoma Steel Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Algoma Steel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Algoma Steel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Algoma Steel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Algoma Steel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Algoma Steel Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Algoma Steel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.0002 |
Algoma Steel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Algoma Steel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Algoma Steel Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Algoma Steel Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Algoma Steel Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (222.67 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (405.07 M). | |
| Algoma Steel Group currently holds about 1.14 B in cash with (51.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.79, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Algoma Steel and Hanwha Ocean Sign Binding Memorandum of Understanding for Long-term Strategic Arrangement supporting Canadian Patrol Submarine Project |
Algoma Steel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Algoma Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Algoma Steel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Algoma Steel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 108.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 266.9 M |
Algoma Steel Fundamentals Growth
Algoma Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Algoma Steel, and Algoma Steel fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Algoma Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.1 | |||
| Return On Asset | -0.0352 | |||
| Profit Margin | (0.35) % | |||
| Operating Margin | (0.27) % | |||
| Current Valuation | 1.02 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 104.93 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 1.15 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.75 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.22 X | |||
| Revenue | 2.45 B | |||
| Gross Profit | (405.07 M) | |||
| EBITDA | (186 M) | |||
| Net Income | (222.67 M) | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.14 B | |||
| Cash Per Share | 10.79 X | |||
| Total Debt | 673.2 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.07 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 2.09 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 8.33 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (51.87 M) | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.03) X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 412.09 M | |||
| Total Asset | 3.19 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 102 M | |||
| Working Capital | 834 M | |||
About Algoma Steel Performance
By examining Algoma Steel's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Algoma Steel's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Algoma Steel is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 112.39 | 72.13 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.06) | (0.06) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.10) | (0.09) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.06) | (0.06) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.17) | (0.16) |
Things to note about Algoma Steel Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Algoma Steel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Algoma Steel Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Algoma Steel Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Algoma Steel Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (222.67 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (405.07 M). | |
| Algoma Steel Group currently holds about 1.14 B in cash with (51.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.79, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Algoma Steel and Hanwha Ocean Sign Binding Memorandum of Understanding for Long-term Strategic Arrangement supporting Canadian Patrol Submarine Project |
- Analyzing Algoma Steel's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Algoma Steel's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Algoma Steel's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Algoma Steel's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Algoma Steel's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Algoma Steel's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Algoma Steel's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Algoma Steel Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Algoma Steel. If investors know Algoma will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Algoma Steel assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.93) | Dividend Share 0.427 | Earnings Share (1.03) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) |
The market value of Algoma Steel Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Algoma that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Algoma Steel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Algoma Steel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Algoma Steel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Algoma Steel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Algoma Steel's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Algoma Steel represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Algoma Steel's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.