Autolus Therapeutics Stock Performance

AUTL Stock  USD 1.40  0.02  1.45%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Autolus Therapeutics holds a performance score of 4. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.23, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Autolus Therapeutics will likely underperform. Please check Autolus Therapeutics' value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Autolus Therapeutics' price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Autolus Therapeutics are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak basic indicators, Autolus Therapeutics disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
1
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Begin Period Cash Flow240.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-394.6 M

Autolus Therapeutics Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  127.00  in Autolus Therapeutics on November 19, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  13.00  from holding Autolus Therapeutics or generate 10.24% return on investment over 90 days. Autolus Therapeutics is currently generating 0.2802% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.8647% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 43% of stocks are less volatile than Autolus, and 95% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Autolus Therapeutics is expected to generate 6.39 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 6.39 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of risk.

Autolus Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Autolus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.40 90 days 1.40 
about 70.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Autolus Therapeutics to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 70.88 (This Autolus Therapeutics probability density function shows the probability of Autolus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.23 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Autolus Therapeutics will likely underperform. Additionally Autolus Therapeutics has an alpha of 0.0803, implying that it can generate a 0.0803 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Autolus Therapeutics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Autolus Therapeutics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Autolus Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Autolus Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.366.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.268.12
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.188.999.98
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.28-0.2-0.09
Details

Autolus Therapeutics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Autolus Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Autolus Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Autolus Therapeutics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Autolus Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Autolus Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Autolus Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Autolus Therapeutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Autolus Therapeutics may become a speculative penny stock
Autolus Therapeutics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 10.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (220.66 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (135.38 M).
Autolus Therapeutics currently holds about 216.44 M in cash with (206.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.38, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Autolus Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Autolus Therapeutics Plc Stock Analysis A Biotech Gem With 606 percent Potential Upside - DirectorsTalk Interviews

Autolus Therapeutics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Autolus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Autolus Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Autolus Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding255.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments588 M

Autolus Therapeutics Fundamentals Growth

Autolus Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Autolus Therapeutics, and Autolus Therapeutics fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Autolus Stock performance.

About Autolus Therapeutics Performance

By examining Autolus Therapeutics' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Autolus Therapeutics' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Autolus Therapeutics is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 12.32  15.07 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.26)(0.27)
Return On Capital Employed(0.38)(0.40)
Return On Assets(0.32)(0.34)
Return On Equity(0.59)(0.62)

Things to note about Autolus Therapeutics performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Autolus Therapeutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Autolus Therapeutics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Autolus Therapeutics may become a speculative penny stock
Autolus Therapeutics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 10.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (220.66 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (135.38 M).
Autolus Therapeutics currently holds about 216.44 M in cash with (206.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.38, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Autolus Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Autolus Therapeutics Plc Stock Analysis A Biotech Gem With 606 percent Potential Upside - DirectorsTalk Interviews
Evaluating Autolus Therapeutics' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Autolus Therapeutics' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Autolus Therapeutics' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Autolus Therapeutics' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Autolus Therapeutics' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Autolus Therapeutics' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Autolus Therapeutics' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Autolus Therapeutics' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Autolus Therapeutics' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Autolus Therapeutics' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Autolus Therapeutics' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Autolus Therapeutics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Autolus Therapeutics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Autolus Therapeutics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Autolus Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Autolus Therapeutics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
For more information on how to buy Autolus Stock please use our How to buy in Autolus Stock guide.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Autolus Therapeutics. If investors know Autolus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Autolus Therapeutics assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share
(0.83)
Revenue Per Share
0.192
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.11)
Return On Assets
(0.23)
Return On Equity
(0.61)
The market value of Autolus Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Autolus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Autolus Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Autolus Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Autolus Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Autolus Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Autolus Therapeutics' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Autolus Therapeutics represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Autolus Therapeutics' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.