Autolus Therapeutics Stock Analysis

AUTL Stock  USD 2.98  0.04  1.36%   
Autolus Therapeutics is undervalued with Real Value of 4.2 and Target Price of 8.2. The main objective of Autolus Therapeutics stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Autolus Therapeutics is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Autolus Therapeutics' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Autolus Therapeutics stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Autolus Therapeutics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
For more information on how to buy Autolus Stock please use our How to buy in Autolus Stock guide.

Autolus Stock Analysis Notes

About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.64. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Autolus Therapeutics recorded a loss per share of 1.22. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Autolus Therapeutics plc, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops T cell therapies for the treatment of cancer. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom. Autolus Therapeutics operates under Biotechnology classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 324 people. For more info on Autolus Therapeutics please contact Christian Itin at 44 20 3829 6230 or go to https://www.autolus.com.

Autolus Therapeutics Investment Alerts

Autolus Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Autolus Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (208.38 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (130.86 M).
Autolus Therapeutics currently holds about 216.44 M in cash with (145.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.38.
Autolus Therapeutics has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: AUCATZYLs Approval Positions Autolus Therapeutics Favorably In The CAR-T Market - Seeking Alpha

Autolus Therapeutics Upcoming and Recent Events

5th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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5th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Autolus Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Autolus Therapeutics' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-08-08
2024-06-30-0.19-0.22-0.0315 
2023-08-03
2023-06-30-0.22-0.26-0.0418 
2023-05-04
2023-03-31-0.27-0.230.0414 
View All Earnings Estimates

Autolus Therapeutics Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Autolus Therapeutics' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Autolus Therapeutics' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Autolus Therapeutics' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Autolus Therapeutics' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Autolus Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2024-06-30
4.4 M
Deerfield Management Co2024-09-30
3.6 M
Great Point Partners Llc2024-06-30
3.4 M
Adage Capital Partners Gp Llc2024-06-30
3.2 M
Laurion Capital Management Lp2024-09-30
3.2 M
Stempoint Capital Lp2024-09-30
2.6 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
2.5 M
Schroder Investment Management Group2024-06-30
2.5 M
Perpetual Ltd2024-06-30
2.4 M
Blackstone Inc2024-09-30
20.5 M
Syncona Portfolio Ltd.2024-09-30
18.6 M
Note, although Autolus Therapeutics' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Autolus Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 782.4 M.

Autolus Profitablity

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.56)(0.58)
Return On Capital Employed(0.59)(0.62)
Return On Assets(0.56)(0.58)
Return On Equity(1.87)(1.78)

Management Efficiency

Autolus Therapeutics has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.2161) % which means that it has lost $0.2161 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.822) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Autolus Therapeutics' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Autolus Therapeutics manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The value of Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to slide to -0.58. The value of Return On Capital Employed is expected to slide to -0.62. At this time, Autolus Therapeutics' Other Current Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Non Currrent Assets Other is expected to rise to about 2.6 M this year, although the value of Total Assets will most likely fall to about 275.2 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 0.64  0.61 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 0.64  0.61 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(5.96)(6.25)
Price Book Value Ratio 10.05  6.27 
Enterprise Value Multiple(5.96)(6.25)
Price Fair Value 10.05  6.27 
Enterprise Value840.2 M882.2 M
Understanding the operational decisions made by Autolus Therapeutics management offers insights into its financial robustness. This evaluation is crucial for assessing the stock's investment potential.
Operating Margin
(21.14)
Beta
2.039
Return On Assets
(0.22)
Return On Equity
(0.82)

Technical Drivers

As of the 25th of November, Autolus Therapeutics shows the Standard Deviation of 4.66, mean deviation of 3.39, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05). Autolus Therapeutics technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Autolus Therapeutics market risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and skewness to decide if Autolus Therapeutics is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 2.98 per share. Please also double-check Autolus Therapeutics jensen alpha, which is currently at (0.60) to validate the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Autolus Therapeutics Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was eleven with a total number of output elements of fifty. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Autolus Therapeutics middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Autolus Therapeutics. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Autolus Therapeutics Outstanding Bonds

Autolus Therapeutics issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Autolus Therapeutics uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Autolus bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Autolus Therapeutics has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Autolus Therapeutics Predictive Daily Indicators

Autolus Therapeutics intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Autolus Therapeutics stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Autolus Therapeutics Corporate Filings

13A
14th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
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8K
12th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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13A
8th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
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F3
25th of October 2024
An amendment to the original Schedule 13D filing
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8K
26th of September 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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8K
19th of September 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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8K
13th of September 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
8th of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Autolus Therapeutics Forecast Models

Autolus Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models are one of many Autolus Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Autolus Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Autolus Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Autolus Therapeutics prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Autolus shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Autolus Therapeutics. By using and applying Autolus Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Autolus entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(122.73)(128.87)
Operating Profit Margin(114.86)(120.60)
Net Loss(122.72)(128.86)
Gross Profit Margin(2.87)(3.01)

Current Autolus Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Autolus analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Autolus analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
8.2Strong Buy10Odds
Autolus Therapeutics current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Autolus analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Autolus stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Autolus Therapeutics, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Autolus conference calls.
Autolus Analyst Advice Details

Autolus Stock Analysis Indicators

Autolus Therapeutics stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Autolus Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Autolus Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Autolus Therapeutics stock analysis, traders can identify Autolus Therapeutics position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow382.8 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding173.9 M
Total Stockholder Equity111.5 M
Tax Provision-17.5 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net95.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments239.6 M
Cash239.6 M
Accounts Payable103 K
Net Debt-186.6 M
50 Day M A3.7892
Total Current Liabilities44.7 M
Other Operating Expenses196.7 M
Non Current Assets Total100.1 M
Non Currrent Assets Other1.4 M
Stock Based Compensation11.2 M
When determining whether Autolus Therapeutics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Autolus Therapeutics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Autolus Therapeutics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Autolus Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Autolus Therapeutics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
For more information on how to buy Autolus Stock please use our How to buy in Autolus Stock guide.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Autolus Therapeutics. If investors know Autolus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Autolus Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.22)
Revenue Per Share
0.043
Quarterly Revenue Growth
6.81
Return On Assets
(0.22)
Return On Equity
(0.82)
The market value of Autolus Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Autolus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Autolus Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Autolus Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Autolus Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Autolus Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Autolus Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Autolus Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Autolus Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.