Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Stock Performance

AVAH Stock  USD 7.87  0.02  0.25%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.14, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Aveanna Healthcare are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Aveanna Healthcare is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Aveanna Healthcare has a negative expected return of -0.17%. Please make sure to confirm Aveanna Healthcare's potential upside, day median price, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and accumulation distribution , to decide if Aveanna Healthcare performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Aveanna Healthcare Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest uncertain performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain strong and the recent confusion on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-lasting gains for the firm traders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow43.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-6.3 M

Aveanna Healthcare Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  898.00  in Aveanna Healthcare Holdings on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (111.00) from holding Aveanna Healthcare Holdings or give up 12.36% of portfolio value over 90 days. Aveanna Healthcare Holdings is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.7837% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 25% of stocks are less volatile than Aveanna, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Aveanna Healthcare is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.48 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Aveanna Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Aveanna Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.87 90 days 7.87 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aveanna Healthcare to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Aveanna Healthcare Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Aveanna Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Aveanna Healthcare Holdings has a beta of -0.14. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aveanna Healthcare are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aveanna Healthcare Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aveanna Healthcare Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Aveanna Healthcare Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aveanna Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aveanna Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.177.9510.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.958.7311.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aveanna Healthcare. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aveanna Healthcare's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aveanna Healthcare's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aveanna Healthcare.

Aveanna Healthcare Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aveanna Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aveanna Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aveanna Healthcare Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aveanna Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Aveanna Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aveanna Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aveanna Healthcare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aveanna Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aveanna Healthcare has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings currently holds 1.5 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 7.17, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Aveanna Healthcare has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Aveanna Healthcare's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.02 B. Net Loss for the year was (10.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 768.9 M.
Over 92.0% of Aveanna Healthcare shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Aveanna Healthcare Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aveanna Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aveanna Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aveanna Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding192.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments84.3 M

Aveanna Healthcare Fundamentals Growth

Aveanna Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Aveanna Healthcare, and Aveanna Healthcare fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Aveanna Stock performance.

About Aveanna Healthcare Performance

By evaluating Aveanna Healthcare's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Aveanna Healthcare's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Aveanna Healthcare has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Aveanna Healthcare has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc., a diversified home care platform company, provides private duty nursing , adult home health and hospice, home-based pediatric therapy, and enteral nutrition services in the United States. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. Aveanna Healthcare operates under Medical Care Facilities classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 33000 people.

Things to note about Aveanna Healthcare performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aveanna Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Aveanna Healthcare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aveanna Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Aveanna Healthcare has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings currently holds 1.5 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 7.17, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Aveanna Healthcare has a current ratio of 0.79, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Aveanna Healthcare's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.02 B. Net Loss for the year was (10.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 768.9 M.
Over 92.0% of Aveanna Healthcare shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Evaluating Aveanna Healthcare's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Aveanna Healthcare's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Aveanna Healthcare's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Aveanna Healthcare's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Aveanna Healthcare's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Aveanna Healthcare's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Aveanna Healthcare's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Aveanna Healthcare's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Aveanna Healthcare's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Aveanna Healthcare's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Aveanna Healthcare's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Aveanna Stock analysis

When running Aveanna Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Aveanna Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aveanna Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Aveanna Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aveanna Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aveanna Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aveanna Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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