Aerovironment Stock Performance

AVAV Stock  USD 235.12  8.30  3.41%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.69, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, AeroVironment will likely underperform. At this point, AeroVironment has a negative expected return of -0.18%. Please make sure to confirm AeroVironment's jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if AeroVironment performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days AeroVironment has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest abnormal performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the latest fuss on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-term gains for the venture sophisticated investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(3.41)
Five Day Return
(4.71)
Year To Date Return
(8.22)
Ten Year Return
879.67
All Time Return
882.53
1
A Closer Look At AeroVironment Valuation After Sharp Share Price Momentum
01/15/2026
2
Is AeroVironment Shifting Its Risk Profile With The SCAR BADGER Contract Renegotiation
01/22/2026
3
AeroVironment Shares Up 2.3 percent Still a Buy
01/28/2026
4
What The BlueHalo Acquisition Means For AeroVironments Changing Story And Valuation
02/03/2026
5
Why Aerovironoment Stock Gained 15 percent in January
02/04/2026
6
Is AeroVironment Quietly Rewriting Its Defense Story Around Biotech And Airspace Software
02/06/2026
7
AeroVironment Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market What Investors Need to Know
02/10/2026
8
Curtiss-Wright Tops Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
02/11/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow73.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-28.5 M

AeroVironment Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  28,366  in AeroVironment on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (4,854) from holding AeroVironment or give up 17.11% of portfolio value over 90 days. AeroVironment is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.2237% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 46% of stocks are less volatile than AeroVironment, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days AeroVironment is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.73 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

AeroVironment Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of AeroVironment Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 235.12 90 days 235.12 
about 89.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AeroVironment to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.55 (This AeroVironment probability density function shows the probability of AeroVironment Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.69 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, AeroVironment will likely underperform. Additionally AeroVironment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   AeroVironment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AeroVironment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AeroVironment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
231.80237.02242.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
211.61272.86278.08
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
356.21391.44434.49
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.810.860.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AeroVironment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AeroVironment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AeroVironment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AeroVironment.

AeroVironment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AeroVironment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AeroVironment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AeroVironment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AeroVironment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.58
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.69
σ
Overall volatility
40.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

AeroVironment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AeroVironment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AeroVironment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AeroVironment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AeroVironment has high historical volatility and very poor performance
AeroVironment currently holds about 40.86 M in cash with (1.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.27.
Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Curtiss-Wright Tops Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

AeroVironment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AeroVironment Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AeroVironment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AeroVironment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments40.9 M

AeroVironment Fundamentals Growth

AeroVironment Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of AeroVironment, and AeroVironment fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on AeroVironment Stock performance.

About AeroVironment Performance

Evaluating AeroVironment's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if AeroVironment has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if AeroVironment has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 95.11  74.20 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.06  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.05 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.06 
Return On Equity 0.06  0.10 

Things to note about AeroVironment performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about AeroVironment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for AeroVironment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AeroVironment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AeroVironment has high historical volatility and very poor performance
AeroVironment currently holds about 40.86 M in cash with (1.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.27.
Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Curtiss-Wright Tops Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
Evaluating AeroVironment's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate AeroVironment's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing AeroVironment's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether AeroVironment's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining AeroVironment's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating AeroVironment's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of AeroVironment's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of AeroVironment's stock. These opinions can provide insight into AeroVironment's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating AeroVironment's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact AeroVironment's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for AeroVironment Stock Analysis

When running AeroVironment's price analysis, check to measure AeroVironment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AeroVironment is operating at the current time. Most of AeroVironment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AeroVironment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AeroVironment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AeroVironment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.