Aerovironment Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AVAV Stock  USD 180.15  8.17  4.75%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding AeroVironment is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell AeroVironment given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for AeroVironment, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out AeroVironment Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy AeroVironment Stock please use our How to Invest in AeroVironment guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as AeroVironment and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. AeroVironment. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute AeroVironment Buy or Sell Advice

The AeroVironment recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AeroVironment. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AeroVironment or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AeroVironment's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AeroVironmentBuy AeroVironment
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon AeroVironment has a Mean Deviation of 2.39, Standard Deviation of 3.43 and Variance of 11.76
Macroaxis provides advice on AeroVironment to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on AeroVironment. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure AeroVironment is not overpriced, please confirm all AeroVironment fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . Given that AeroVironment has a price to earning of 71.89 X, we suggest you to validate AeroVironment market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

AeroVironment Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

AeroVironment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AeroVironment has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

AeroVironment Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of AeroVironment's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AeroVironment's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AeroVironment daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AeroVironment price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AeroVironment returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AeroVironment.
Mean Return
-0.24
Value At Risk
-4.97
Potential Upside
4.47
Standard Deviation
3.43
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AeroVironment historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

AeroVironment Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AeroVironment or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AeroVironment's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AeroVironment stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.43
σ
Overall volatility
3.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

AeroVironment Volatility Alert

AeroVironment exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.53 and kurtosis of 6.63. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AeroVironment's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AeroVironment's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

AeroVironment Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing AeroVironment's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AeroVironment's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AeroVironment and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AeroVironment or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AeroVironment's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AeroVironment by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare AeroVironment to competition
FundamentalsAeroVironmentPeer Average
Return On Equity0.083-0.31
Return On Asset0.0482-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.12 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.81 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding28.2 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.07 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions93.64 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.69 M4.71 M
Price To Earning71.89 X28.72 X
Price To Book5.63 X9.51 X
Price To Sales6.43 X11.42 X
Revenue716.72 M9.43 B
Gross Profit299.74 M27.38 B
EBITDA103.2 M3.9 B
Net Income59.67 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents132.86 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.27 X5.01 X
Total Debt59.68 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.35 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.73 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share29.45 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations15.29 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.79 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.70 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.72 X4.89 X
Target Price230.74
Number Of Employees1.4 K18.84 K
Beta0.49-0.15
Market Capitalization4.85 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.02 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings230.69 M9.33 B
Working Capital370.7 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Page Stephen F of 7900 shares of AeroVironment subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

AeroVironment Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AeroVironment . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About AeroVironment Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell AeroVironment? Buying financial instruments such as AeroVironment Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having AeroVironment in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Corporate ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Corporate ETFs theme has 221 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Corporate ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for AeroVironment Stock Analysis

When running AeroVironment's price analysis, check to measure AeroVironment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AeroVironment is operating at the current time. Most of AeroVironment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AeroVironment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AeroVironment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AeroVironment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.