Mission Produce Stock Performance

AVO Stock  USD 13.28  0.03  0.23%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Mission Produce holds a performance score of 10. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.49, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Mission Produce's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mission Produce is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Mission Produce's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Mission Produce's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Mission Produce are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak basic indicators, Mission Produce displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.11)
Five Day Return
(1.63)
Year To Date Return
14.94
Ten Year Return
(3.55)
All Time Return
(3.55)
1
Insider Trading
11/03/2025
2
Acquisition by Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd of 49055 shares of Mission Produce at 11.69 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/04/2025
3
MISSION PRODUCE Q4 2025 Earnings Preview Recent AVO Insider Trading, Hedge Fund Activity, and More - Quiver Quantitative
12/15/2025
4
Acquisition by Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd of 112505 shares of Mission Produce at 11.61 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/23/2025
5
Acquisition by Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd of 13679 shares of Mission Produce at 11.64 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/26/2025
6
Mango Momentum Builds Will AVO Crack the Year-Round Supply Code
12/29/2025
7
Acquisition by Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd of 88864 shares of Mission Produce at 11.58 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
8
Mission Produce AVO Q4 2024 Earnings Transcript
01/06/2026
9
Disposition of 17621 shares by Bryan Giles of Mission Produce at 11.79 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/07/2026
10
Acquisition by Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd of 13683 shares of Mission Produce at 11.96 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/08/2026
11
Holdings Venture Globalharvest Purchases 13,683 Shares of Mission Produce Stock
01/09/2026
12
Mission Produce Announces Agreement to Acquire Calavo - GlobeNewswire
01/14/2026
13
Why Mission Produce Stock Is Trading Lower Today
01/15/2026
14
Acquisition by Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd of 324295 shares of Mission Produce at 12.37 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/16/2026
15
Mission Produce Major Shareholder Acquires 11,591,879.04 in Stock
01/21/2026
16
Why Mission Produce Stock Is Up Today
01/22/2026
17
Acquisition by Globalharvest Holdings Venture Ltd of 7472 shares of Mission Produce at 11.61 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/23/2026
18
Village Farms vs. Mission Produce Which Produce Stock Looks Better
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow59.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-51.9 M

Mission Produce Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,152  in Mission Produce on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  179.00  from holding Mission Produce or generate 15.54% return on investment over 90 days. Mission Produce is generating 0.2623% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.0508% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Mission, and above 95% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Mission Produce is expected to generate 2.72 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.72 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Mission Produce Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Mission Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.28 90 days 13.28 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mission Produce to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Mission Produce probability density function shows the probability of Mission Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Mission Produce has a beta of 0.49. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Mission Produce average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mission Produce will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mission Produce has an alpha of 0.1695, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mission Produce Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mission Produce

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mission Produce. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mission Produce's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.2513.3015.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.0715.1217.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.2214.2716.32
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.7717.3319.24
Details

Mission Produce Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mission Produce is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mission Produce's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mission Produce, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mission Produce within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.61
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Mission Produce Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mission Produce for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mission Produce can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mission Produce is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Mission Produce has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Village Farms vs. Mission Produce Which Produce Stock Looks Better

Mission Produce Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mission Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mission Produce's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mission Produce's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding71.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments64.8 M

Mission Produce Fundamentals Growth

Mission Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Mission Produce, and Mission Produce fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Mission Stock performance.

About Mission Produce Performance

By examining Mission Produce's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Mission Produce's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Mission Produce is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 21.52  19.14 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.10  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.04  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.07  0.09 

Things to note about Mission Produce performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mission Produce for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Mission Produce help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mission Produce is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Mission Produce has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Village Farms vs. Mission Produce Which Produce Stock Looks Better
Evaluating Mission Produce's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Mission Produce's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Mission Produce's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Mission Produce's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Mission Produce's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Mission Produce's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Mission Produce's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Mission Produce's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Mission Produce's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Mission Produce's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Mission Produce's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Mission Produce offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Mission Produce's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mission Produce Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mission Produce Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Mission Produce. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.
To learn how to invest in Mission Stock, please use our How to Invest in Mission Produce guide.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Will Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector continue expanding? Could Mission diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mission Produce. If investors know Mission will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Mission Produce data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
Earnings Share
0.53
Revenue Per Share
19.66
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.10)
Return On Assets
0.0418
Understanding Mission Produce requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Mission's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Mission Produce's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Mission Produce's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Mission Produce's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Mission Produce represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Mission Produce's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.