Aya Gold Silver Stock Performance

AYASF Stock  USD 19.33  0.56  2.82%   
Aya Gold holds a performance score of 17 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.64, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Aya Gold will likely underperform. Use Aya Gold value at risk, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and expected short fall , to analyze future returns on Aya Gold.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Aya Gold Silver are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Aya Gold reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow30.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-23.6 M
  

Aya Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,055  in Aya Gold Silver on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  878.00  from holding Aya Gold Silver or generate 83.22% return on investment over 90 days. Aya Gold Silver is currently producing 1.1307% returns and takes up 5.2737% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 47% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Aya, and 78% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aya Gold is expected to generate 7.04 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 7.04 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Aya Gold Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Aya Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 19.33 90 days 19.33 
roughly 2.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aya Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.03 (This Aya Gold Silver probability density function shows the probability of Aya Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.64 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aya Gold will likely underperform. Moreover Aya Gold Silver has an alpha of 1.0074, implying that it can generate a 1.01 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aya Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aya Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aya Gold Silver. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aya Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.0619.3324.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.3915.6620.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.9921.2726.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.5216.1819.84
Details

Aya Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aya Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aya Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aya Gold Silver, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aya Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.64
σ
Overall volatility
2.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

Aya Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aya Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aya Gold Silver can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aya Gold Silver is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Aya Gold Silver appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Aya Gold Silver has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 34.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (306.64 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.01 M.
About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Aya Gold Fundamentals Growth

Aya Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Aya Gold, and Aya Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Aya Pink Sheet performance.

About Aya Gold Performance

By analyzing Aya Gold's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Aya Gold's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Aya Gold has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Aya Gold has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Aya Gold Silver Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, evaluation, and development of precious metal properties in Morocco. Aya Gold Silver Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Montreal, Canada. Aya Gold operates under Silver classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about Aya Gold Silver performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aya Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Aya Gold Silver help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aya Gold Silver is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Aya Gold Silver appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Aya Gold Silver has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 34.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (306.64 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.01 M.
About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Aya Gold's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Aya Gold's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Aya Gold's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Aya Gold's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Aya Gold's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Aya Gold's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Aya Gold's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Aya Gold's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Aya Gold's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Aya Gold's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Aya Gold's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Aya Pink Sheet analysis

When running Aya Gold's price analysis, check to measure Aya Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aya Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Aya Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aya Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aya Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aya Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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