Alibaba Group Holding Stock Performance
| BABA Stock | USD 133.66 1.93 1.42% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.09, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Alibaba Group returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Alibaba Group is expected to follow. At this point, Alibaba Group Holding has a negative expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to confirm Alibaba Group's variance, treynor ratio, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness , to decide if Alibaba Group Holding performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Alibaba Group Holding has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (4.87) | Five Day Return (8.58) | Year To Date Return (12.92) | Ten Year Return 90.96 | All Time Return 44.45 |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0074 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 1.05 | Dividend Date 2025-07-10 | Ex Dividend Date 2025-06-12 |
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| Begin Period Cash Flow | 282.1 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -206.6 B |
Alibaba Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 15,744 in Alibaba Group Holding on December 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2,185) from holding Alibaba Group Holding or give up 13.88% of portfolio value over 90 days. Alibaba Group Holding is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.5812% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 23% of stocks are less volatile than Alibaba, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Alibaba Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Alibaba Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 133.66 | 90 days | 133.66 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alibaba Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Alibaba Group Holding probability density function shows the probability of Alibaba Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Alibaba Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alibaba Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alibaba Group Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alibaba Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alibaba Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alibaba Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alibaba Group Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alibaba Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Alibaba Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alibaba Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alibaba Group Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alibaba Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alibaba Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Alibaba Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from channelnewsasia.com: Stocks diverge, dollar down over Trump tariffs uncertainty |
Alibaba Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alibaba Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alibaba Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alibaba Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 464.8 B |
Alibaba Group Fundamentals Growth
Alibaba Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Alibaba Group, and Alibaba Group fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Alibaba Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0403 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.12 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 335.4 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 2.39 B | ||||
| Price To Earning | 112.48 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.29 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.34 X | ||||
| Revenue | 996.35 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 416.69 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 182.67 B | ||||
| Net Income | 130.51 B | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 145.49 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 185.57 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 248.49 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.18 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.77 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 64.92 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 164.82 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 7.63 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 340.34 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.81 T | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 646.47 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 238.7 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 134.07 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 52.04 B | ||||
About Alibaba Group Performance
By analyzing Alibaba Group's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Alibaba Group's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Alibaba Group has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Alibaba Group has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 10.37 | 13.02 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.12 | 0.14 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.24 | 0.24 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.12 | 0.12 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.26 | 0.33 |
Things to note about Alibaba Group Holding performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alibaba Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Alibaba Group Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alibaba Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alibaba Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Alibaba Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from channelnewsasia.com: Stocks diverge, dollar down over Trump tariffs uncertainty |
- Analyzing Alibaba Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Alibaba Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Alibaba Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Alibaba Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Alibaba Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Alibaba Group's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Alibaba Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Alibaba Stock analysis
When running Alibaba Group's price analysis, check to measure Alibaba Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alibaba Group is operating at the current time. Most of Alibaba Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alibaba Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alibaba Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alibaba Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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