Alibaba Group Holding Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BABA Stock | USD 85.58 2.45 2.95% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alibaba Group Holding is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Alibaba Group buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BABA positions.
Check out Alibaba Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alibaba and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Alibaba Group Holding. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Alibaba |
Execute Alibaba Group Buy or Sell Advice
The Alibaba recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alibaba Group Holding. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alibaba Group Holding or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alibaba Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Alibaba Group Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Procter Gamble doubles down on Chinas TikTok to reverse sales slump |
Alibaba Group Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Alibaba Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alibaba Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alibaba Group daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alibaba Group Holding price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alibaba Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alibaba Group.
| Mean Return | 0.04 | Value At Risk | -4.27 | Potential Upside | 4.82 | Standard Deviation | 2.86 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alibaba Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Alibaba Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Hillhouse Capital Advisors, Ltd. | 2024-09-30 | 8.8 M | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 8.6 M | Jane Street Group Llc | 2024-06-30 | 8.6 M | Assenagon Asset Management Sa | 2024-09-30 | 6.1 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 5.6 M | H&h International Investment, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 5.4 M | Loomis, Sayles & Company Lp | 2024-06-30 | 5.1 M | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 5 M | Alyeska Investment Group, L.p. | 2024-09-30 | 3.9 M | Primecap Management Company | 2024-09-30 | 21.9 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 21.5 M |
Alibaba Group Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 147.5B | 10.5B | (129.1B) | 2.2B | 53.0B | 55.7B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 135.2B | 188.6B | 89.5B | 165.4B | 149.7B | 157.1B | |
| Depreciation | 42.4B | 47.9B | 39.5B | 46.9B | 44.5B | 46.7B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (51.9B) | (63.3B) | 80.5B | 37.4B | 64.5B | 67.8B | |
| Dividends Paid | 0.0 | 12.1B | 38.4B | 22.8B | 17.9B | 16.1B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 45.4B | 43.2B | 53.3B | 34.4B | 32.9B | 20.5B | |
| Net Income | 140.4B | 143.3B | 62.2B | 72.8B | 71.3B | 49.6B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 346.0B | 356.5B | 227.4B | 229.5B | 279.0B | 139.9B | |
| Change To Netincome | (6.2B) | (32.7B) | 42.4B | 41.1B | 47.2B | 49.6B | |
| Investments | (60.5B) | (244.2B) | (144.4B) | (135.5B) | (21.8B) | (22.9B) | |
| Net Borrowings | (4.2B) | (16.0B) | 31.3B | (1.5B) | (1.4B) | (1.3B) |
Alibaba Group Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alibaba Group or Broadline Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alibaba Group's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alibaba stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Alibaba Group Volatility Alert
Alibaba Group Holding currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.03 and Jensen Alpha of -0.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alibaba Group's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alibaba Group's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Alibaba Group Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Alibaba Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alibaba Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alibaba Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alibaba Group or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alibaba Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alibaba Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Alibaba Group to competition |
| Fundamentals | Alibaba Group | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0567 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0468 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.16 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 172.4 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 2.39 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.01 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 16.10 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 62.56 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 112.48 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.51 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.21 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 941.17 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 314.36 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 183.22 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 71.33 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 193.09 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 185.57 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 205.61 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.18 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.77 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 405.38 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 182.59 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.58 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.86 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.60 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 870.9 | |
| Number Of Employees | 198.16 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.35 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 198.62 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.76 T | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 597.9 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 331.36 B | 1.48 B |
Alibaba Group Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alibaba . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 372498.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.150235 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 84.82 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 85.07 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.99 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 2.45 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 50.99 |
About Alibaba Group Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Alibaba Group Holding? Buying financial instruments such as Alibaba Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Alibaba Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Broadline Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alibaba Group. If investors know Alibaba will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alibaba Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.26) | Earnings Share 4.86 | Revenue Per Share 382.182 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.039 | Return On Assets 0.0468 |
The market value of Alibaba Group Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alibaba that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alibaba Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alibaba Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alibaba Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alibaba Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alibaba Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alibaba Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alibaba Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.