Alibaba Group Holding Stock Performance

BABAF Stock  USD 20.82  2.14  11.46%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Alibaba Group holds a performance score of 2. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.1, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Alibaba Group will likely underperform. Please check Alibaba Group's sortino ratio, potential upside, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and maximum drawdown , to make a quick decision on whether Alibaba Group's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Alibaba Group Holding are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Alibaba Group reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow356.5 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-198.6 B
  

Alibaba Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,049  in Alibaba Group Holding on November 25, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  33.00  from holding Alibaba Group Holding or generate 1.61% return on investment over 90 days. Alibaba Group Holding is currently producing 0.2042% returns and takes up 6.0123% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 54% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Alibaba, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Alibaba Group is expected to generate 8.28 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 8.28 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Alibaba Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Alibaba Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.82 90 days 20.82 
about 29.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alibaba Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 29.84 (This Alibaba Group Holding probability density function shows the probability of Alibaba Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.1 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Alibaba Group will likely underperform. Additionally Alibaba Group Holding has an alpha of 0.1844, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Alibaba Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alibaba Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alibaba Group Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.8120.8226.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.1717.1823.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.9320.9426.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.6420.0239.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Alibaba Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Alibaba Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Alibaba Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Alibaba Group Holding.

Alibaba Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alibaba Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alibaba Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alibaba Group Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alibaba Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.10
σ
Overall volatility
1.38
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Alibaba Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alibaba Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alibaba Group Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alibaba Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Alibaba Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Alibaba Group Fundamentals Growth

Alibaba Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Alibaba Group, and Alibaba Group fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Alibaba Pink Sheet performance.

About Alibaba Group Performance

By analyzing Alibaba Group's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Alibaba Group's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Alibaba Group has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Alibaba Group has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the Peoples Republic of China and internationally. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Hangzhou, the Peoples Republic of China. Alibaba Group operates under Internet Retail classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 245700 people.

Things to note about Alibaba Group Holding performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alibaba Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Alibaba Group Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alibaba Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Alibaba Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Alibaba Group's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Alibaba Group's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Alibaba Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Alibaba Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Alibaba Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Alibaba Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Alibaba Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Alibaba Group's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Alibaba Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Alibaba Group's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Alibaba Group's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Alibaba Pink Sheet analysis

When running Alibaba Group's price analysis, check to measure Alibaba Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alibaba Group is operating at the current time. Most of Alibaba Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alibaba Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alibaba Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alibaba Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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