Baba Farid (Pakistan) Performance

BAFS Stock   226.69  12.91  5.39%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.63, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Baba Farid will likely underperform. At this point, Baba Farid Sugar has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to confirm Baba Farid's market risk adjusted performance, semi deviation, coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if Baba Farid Sugar performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Baba Farid Sugar has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors. ...more
  

Baba Farid Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  25,549  in Baba Farid Sugar on November 26, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2,880) from holding Baba Farid Sugar or give up 11.27% of portfolio value over 90 days. Baba Farid Sugar is generating negative expected returns and assumes 3.7234% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 33% of stocks are less volatile than Baba, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Baba Farid is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.88 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Baba Farid Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Baba Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 226.69 90 days 226.69 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baba Farid to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Baba Farid Sugar probability density function shows the probability of Baba Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.63 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Baba Farid will likely underperform. Additionally Baba Farid Sugar has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Baba Farid Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Baba Farid

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baba Farid Sugar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Baba Farid Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baba Farid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baba Farid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baba Farid Sugar, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baba Farid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.63
σ
Overall volatility
34.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Baba Farid Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baba Farid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baba Farid Sugar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Baba Farid Sugar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Baba Farid Sugar has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Things to note about Baba Farid Sugar performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Baba Farid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Baba Farid Sugar help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Baba Farid Sugar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Baba Farid Sugar has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Evaluating Baba Farid's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Baba Farid's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Baba Farid's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Baba Farid's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Baba Farid's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Baba Farid's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Baba Farid's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Baba Farid's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Baba Farid's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Baba Farid's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Baba Farid's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Baba Stock analysis

When running Baba Farid's price analysis, check to measure Baba Farid's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Baba Farid is operating at the current time. Most of Baba Farid's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Baba Farid's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Baba Farid's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Baba Farid to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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